Posts
Cava - how much moat is there for healthy fast casual restaurant?
The collapse in Sweetgreen's performance makes me question how much moat or entry barrier really exists in healthy fast casual restaurant. CAVA is doing much better today, but I don't know yet whether that reflects a durable competitive advantage or simply an earlier stage of growth (only 500 restaurants nationwide) …
Nike at 13-year lows: my three-method valuation says ~$41 vs $35.75. Roast my numbers.
Nike (NKE) reported Thursday and is sitting near 13-year lows. I ran three intrinsic-value methods on it by hand — here are my numbers, tear them apart: **Current price: ~$35.75 (Friday's close). Down ~44% YTD — the 13th-worst stock in the S&P 500 this year.** Here are my three numbers …
The Buffett Indicator and Shiller PE are both near all-time highs. Here's what they're actually saying
Two of the most famous market valuation gauges are flashing red at the same time, and I think most coverage of them is either breathless or dismissive. Here's the honest version. **The Buffett Indicator: ~240%** — total US stock market value divided by GDP. In August it hit 240.2%, the …
Meta Muse, Google at risk
All the talk seems to be about Amzn advertising being at risk from Meta's Muse. However, what about Google? ChatGPT doesn't really take much from search, as the monetised search still goes through Google. For example, I google sneakers and find the best pair; Google makes money. Whereas now Meta …
How do you guys use AI for stock research?
does everybody else use AI for stock research and sifting through potential stock picks? I’m finding less and less hallucination from LLM whilst investing and was wondering what your framework of stock researching is? where would you not use AI?
$BN, $NVO, $LEN and $NKE
Looking to start positions in these names. Been holding cash but they seem too good to pass for a long term investment. What do you guys think? Will a broader market crash affect these much? I see limited downside as they’ve already been pretty dragged down. **Edit: also considering $WING …
What about FNDB? Or similar from other investment companies
I don't recall seeing much about Schwab's FNDB on investing subs. In trying to avoid tech sector over-concentration and high P/Es there a fair amount of talk about SCHD, but its drawbacks would be: too much dividend income (taxable), not super-diversified with <100 stocks and 41% in top ten holdings, …
I made a simple breakdown of Netflix’s Q2 2026 income statement
# I’m trying to make financial statements easier to understand without all the accounting language. # For this one I used Netflix Q2 2026 and went through revenue, gross profit, operating income, net income, EPS and how buybacks can affect EPS. # Income Statement Explained Simply | Netflix Q2 2026 …
In Defense of Howard Buffett!
Why I believe Howard Buffett is the “ perfect” chairman for Berkshire. Berkshire was built, and succeeded on one simple formula: it has operated at the opposite end of Wall Street’s formulaic expectations. Berkshire is the ultimate antithesis of conglomerates fragile build-ups: Independent subsidiaries, trust earned and based management, decentralized …
The Election Dynamic and how it Affects the Market.
Looking for people's take on how the Mid-terms may/may not affect market dynamics. Im looking for cogent takes, not partisan hackery please. Tell me what you guys see and how you think it will affect markets and specifically Value investors. My opinion: I think democrats winning a House Majority and …