Posts
The development of AI will have a dual impact on the semiconductor industry.
To begin with, let us look back at the semiconductor industry's traditional model: most products flowed to manufacturers, who integrated them into electronic devices for sale to end consumers. This model is currently being disrupted by artificial intelligence. The construction of data centers has caused the majority of semiconductor products …
Vistra: (another) good AI hardware play
Hi everyone! A few weeks ago I made a post about an AI hadware stock i liked, Penguin Solutions, and just yesterday it ran after earnings. So, I took some profit and put it into another AI hardware company I like and think is undervalued: Vistra Corporation, ticker VST. First …
Can cash be the king once again?
I mean, there were times in the past when the interest rates reached 8-10% and both the stock market and gold were flat. The economy was deflationary. Ordinary people didn't really have much money back then, so they couldn't take an advantage of it. Today, a lot of high profile …
How much does the AI buildout actually have to pay off? I solved each hyperscaler's price backwards
Over the last couple of weeks, I posted DCFs on the three big hyperscalers - [Microsoft](https://www.reddit.com/r/ValueInvesting/comments/1uio0by/six_months_ago_we_called_microsoft_overvalued_at/), [Meta](https://www.reddit.com/r/ValueInvesting/comments/1umbmng/the_meta_version_of_my_microsoft_capex_breakdown/), and [Alphabet](https://www.reddit.com/r/ValueInvesting/comments/1upov82/google_looks_cheap_at_27x_earnings_but_a_dcf/). The most common pushback, especially on the Google post, was that I was counting the cost of the AI capex without giving credit for the return it will eventually earn. It …
Reading 10-K/Q filings is a massive pain. Would an AI-driven tool be useful to you?
Hey everyone, Reading through SEC filings is a huge time sink, but crucial for fundamental analysis. I’m currently planning to build an free AI-driven tool to help automate the initial screening. The plan is to have the AI instantly surface: TL;DR: A 2-minute context-aware summary. Commentary shifts: What did management …
Costco Hot Dog: Company That Helps Keep It at $1.50 Is Now a Publicly Traded Stock - Barron’s
TLDR: $MFP small caps <2bn spun off this last week. The $1.50 Costco Hot Dog Is Made Possible Thanks to This Little Company By Al Root Updated July 07, 2026 4:38 pm EDT / Original July 07, 2026 9:06 am EDT https://www.barrons.com/articles/costco-hot-dog-midera-stock-spinoff-b0064327 The Costco $1.50 hot dog is a cultural …
Get investment thesis on any US stock
Hey folks, I want to share a product - '**Clear Thesis' -** that I built for long-term investors to help with stock research process. I know product posts are sensitive here, especially with the recent wave of AI/vibe-coded tools and strict rules around self-promotion. So to be clear and upfront: …
[Week 22 - 1986] Discussing A Berkshire Hathaway Shareholder Letter (Almost) Every Week
**Full Letter:** https://theoraclesclassroom.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/1986-Berkshire-AR.pdf **Letter Only** https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/1986.html This week we will go over two passages and an acquisition. First the intro to this year’s letter with a writeup on their management philosophy which ties in well to the theme of today’s post, their method of avoiding "Diworsification" as the conglomerate grows. …
Your no drama good valuation stocks?
Basically I’m interested in tickers where they are low pe, low debt, and generally go up or pay dividends without much issue. A few of my favorites are all, rf, cf, and Cigna. I understand these all could go down in profit but generally they only go up and no …
GE Aerospace (GE): Momentum score of 90/100, 45% ROE, and a 6-model fair value that says it's 67% overpriced, here's where the debate actually lives
GE Aerospace is a genuinely high-quality business with real earnings power, but the market has priced in a trajectory that the current fundamentals cannot yet justify, and the Samsung-driven chip selloff yesterday is a useful reminder of what happens when peak-cycle pricing meets a reality check. **The mechanism and the …