Posts
Zoom, Teladoc, and DocuSign all decelerated in the same 9-week window in 2021, a year before the crash hit
Zoom, Teladoc, and DocuSign are down **87 to 97%** from their highs. In the same **nine-week window in 2021** YoY revenue growth came in lower than the quarter before. Not negative. Not even close to negative. Just no longer accelerating. Every one of these filings landed while the stock was …
10 Value Investing Principles:
**Buy businesses, not tickers:** Analyze the company’s economics, competitive position, management, and long-term prospects. **Estimate intrinsic value:** Value the future cash the business can generate, not just its current earnings or share price. **Demand a margin of safety:** Buy only when the market price is meaningfully below your conservative estimate …
Calling BS that Zoetis is not $240-$400 share price.
Zoetis share price is $77 now. That is the share price in year 2018. Which makes zero sense. Sales in 2018 was $5.825b. Sales in 2025 is $9.5b. Sales in 2026 is still projected to be above $9b (Not below $6b) The sales and EPS are constantly growing on a …
Reploid AG Micro Cap
Bin vor ein paar Wochen über eine österreichische Micro-Cap-Aktie gestolpert die ich mir genauer angeschaut habe und wollte mal hören ob das jemand kennt. Was machen die: REPLOID baut modulare Insektenmastanlagen (sog. ReFarmUnits) bei Landwirten und Lebensmittelverarbeitern. Schwarze Soldatenfliegen-Larven fressen organische Reststoffe und werden zu Protein, Fett und Dünger verarbeitet. …
The World’s Craziest Stock Market Has Turned Into a Fright Ride - wsj
The World’s Craziest Stock Market Has Turned Into a Fright Ride A slow-motion collapse in South Korea’s Kospi index erased $2.5 trillion in market value, burning investors who bet on the AI boom https://www.wsj.com/finance/stocks/stock-market-crash-south-korea-ai-ccb00cba Dealers working at the Hana Bank in Seoul during one of the days the Kospi was …
Some companies to sink your teeth into
Reading recent posts on this sub is like analyzing companies. Most are a bag of sh\*t*, some interesting, few incredible. So to have some fun I’ll share a list I’ve been pondering the past few days to see if any tickle your fancy. Let me know if any are interesting …
Were the early days of current high market cap stocks value plays?
Trying to get some perspective from investors early on who purchased current stocks like AAPL, GOOGL, META, AMZN, NVDA. In the early days of these stocks (e.g first few years after IPO) were these stocks considered a value play? Was it more just luck that they shot up and competitors …
We are all priced in as the demand of AI industry
The AI bubble isn't bursting. We're already the demand. Everyone keeps comparing AI to the dot com bubble while using it every day. I throw stupid questions at it, write emails, summarize stuff I don't want to read, code. For markets, I usually just skim the weekly brief on moomoo …
RDDT is Undervalued
I built a model with five scenarios off two drivers, 5-year DAUq growth and 5-year ARPU growth, compounded out, with incremental revenue converting to after-tax profit at a 40% margin (roughly double the current blended margin, which is reasonable given how much of Reddit’s cost base is already fixed). Each …
For the next 10 years, more traditional value investing will outperform in my opinion
Interest rates are rising to levels we have not seen since 2008. We are in a market environment of mostly cost push as well as some demand pull inflation. I doubt we will see a major decrease in rates anytime soon, especially towards the levels of the past. The cost …