Posts
The “AI Scare Trade” Is Back Consulting, Software, Payments Get Hit
Markets didn’t just sell off on tariffs. The **AI disruption narrative** came roaring back. After **Anthropic** unveiled tools aimed at automating high-end consulting work, investors immediately repriced entire business models. **IBM** got crushed (-13%), with Accenture and Cognizant not far behind. Software, payments, logistics anything built on “human-intensive workflows” took …
Why do we continue to go through this idea that technology will lead to massive unemployment?
Was reading the Citrini article this morning published "June 2028." Gives the idea that the S&P 500 will peak around $8000 in October of this year and then collapse with rising unemployment headed over 10% by 2028. All because AI is going to replace their human masters. I don't get …
Amazon, Microsoft, and Google Are Systematically Acquiring the AI Industry at Near Zero Cost
**Three things before we start:** 1. **All ideas, arguments, and thesis are my own.** I've used Claude for research, sourcing, and condensing the writing, but the analysis is mine. 2. **This goes against current major media narratives.** I expect hate. But a few of you will get it. 3. **For …
Citrini Research 2028 Intelligence Crisis: The Portfolio That Survives Both Worlds
# **Scenario Outline** Article: [https://www.citriniresearch.com/p/2028gic](https://www.citriniresearch.com/p/2028gic) This fictitious AI scenario from Citrini Research foresees mass layoffs, collapsing middle-class consumption, "Ghost GDP" , 10.2% unemployment, a 38% S&P 500 drawdown from 2026 highs, and cascading financial stress due to the obsolescence of white collar workers and intermediation. **Asset Allocation Strategy** *Thesis: It …
Meta Doubles Down on AI Partners with Both AMD and Nvidia
Just days after expanding its partnership with NVIDIA Corporation, Meta has now signed a multiyear AI chip agreement with AMD. The deal could see Meta purchase up to 6 gigawatts of GPUs and AI equipment from AMD, starting shipments in late 2026. AMD stock popped nearly 10% premarket on the …
Imperial Oil’s Massive 5-Year Rally Now Raising Red Flags
After a nearly 470% surge in five years, Imperial Oil is facing valuation pushback. RBC downgraded the stock to “Underperform,” saying it’s become disconnected from fundamentals and that better opportunities exist in the sector. Imperial, majority-owned by Exxon Mobil Corporation, has benefited from strong oil prices, disciplined capital returns, and …
Overall portfolio build (all accounts)
After doing som research, here is what I chose to land on, any suggestions would be great! Currently 36 years old, income around $225,000, two kids (have 529 and UTMA accounts for them) Brokerage account (currently $50,000) SCHB 65% VXUS 35% Roth IRA (currently $110,000) going for higher risk higher …
Definition of oversold: GTLB
This is coming from a software engineer and I honestly think GTLB at \~$30 is getting overlooked. A subscription SaaS company with high-80% gross margins and strong recurring revenue. That alone puts it in the “quality software” bucket. Net revenue retention has been solid, which means customers aren’t just sticking …
Supreme Court Blocks Trump’s Global Tariffs
Here we go again. WASHINGTON - The U.S. Supreme Court ruled Friday that President Trump’s sweeping global tariffs were unlawful, striking down a central pillar of his second-term trade policy. The Court found that the administration overstepped its authority by invoking federal emergency powers to impose broad “reciprocal” tariffs on …
supreme court says no, white house says yes... are we in a 'tariff loop' now?
woke up and saw the market is back to panic-selling cuz of the new 15% tariffs lol. i thought the scotus ruling on friday was supposed to fix this but i guess not. im trying to audit my portfolio to see which of my 'tech' plays are actually manufacturing in …