Posts
NVDA DCF model — happy to walk through the assumptions if anyone's interested
**Approach:** 1. R&D capitalization, affecting NOPAT and invested capital 2. Adjusted ROIC, marginal ROIC, RR 3. Took a snapshot of the historical range of marginal ROIC and RR — the interplay between marginal ROIC and RR determines the organic growth rate, g\_internal 4. Extracted Wall Street consensus estimates for the …
Thought on TJX?
Pros: down 22% from a high great compounder long term Holds well during downturns Cons: still high PE ratio of 24
AVGO: Missed opportunity or value trap? Curious what this sub thinks
Broadcom's earnings numbers keep impressing me the growth trajectory looks strong, and by several metrics they're outperforming a lot of the semi sector. Yet the stock hasn't gotten the market attention/hype I think it deserves, which makes me wonder if this is being slept on or if there's a good …
Campbell’s Slashes Dividend and Looks to Cut Costs as Performance Remains ‘Unacceptable’ - Barron’s
Campbell’s Slashes Dividend and Looks to Cut Costs as Performance Remains ‘Unacceptable’ **By Mackenzie Tatananni** https://www.barrons.com/articles/campbells-earnings-dividend-cut-stock-price-ec1bf75f **Sept 03, 2026 8:58 am EDT** Campbell’s cut its quarterly dividend to 25 cents a share, marking a 36% reduction to its previous dividend of 36 cents. (PHOTOGRAPH BY JUSTIN SULLIVAN/GETTY IMAGES) Key Points …
Semis are cyclical and we have the evidence in front of us
DRAM and NAND prices continue to rise. The stocks of the manufacturers have stopped rising. This is the quintessential example of the stocks telling us that the forward earnings estimates are not credible. This is a danger sign, not a buying opportunity. Forward PE on cyclical earnings are often a …
How much could gold and oil prices impact value stocks in September?
I’ve been thinking about how gold and oil prices could affect the market going into September, especially from a value investing perspective. If oil prices remain high, energy companies could continue to benefit, but higher energy costs could also put pressure on margins in industries like transportation, manufacturing, and consumer …
How will market (in particular GOOG) react to Anthropic IPO?
A big part of my portfolio is GOOG and, well, they are invested in Anthropic. The IPO will most likely look similar to SpaceX: pump in the first week, then dump for weeks, then pump again after some time. What I wonder about is if the rest of the market …
Why is retail underperforming the market this year?
From what I’ve been seeing from online research, retail investors are underperforming the broader market on average this year. This narrative has been going around for about a month now and it’s kinda weird to me. Just last year, the narrative was that retail was outperforming the index and asset …
Kraken Seems to be a bargain and potential multibagger. Here's the 24 milestones I'm watching.
I think KRKNF is a textbook case of a multibagger stock selling the sonar, batteries, and towfish systems navies and unmanned underwater vehicles need to defend the seafloor. With its recent pullback the stock now trades at 13x 2027 EV/EBITDA, which is a bargain if you understand where this company …
How to Value a Business: A 2-Part Beginner’s Guide
Charlie Munger famously said: “All intelligent investing is value investing - acquiring more than you are paying for. You must value the business in order to value the stock.” So if you're interested in value investing, learning how to value a business is probably one of the most important skills …