Posts
Charter Communications
Guys, I have posted here before about charter communications so posting this to start some discussion on it. I’m long with 200 shares at 130 cost basis. It’s trading at 110 apiece rn. I think it got repriced because of the rising interest rates so market is worried about their …
Best over 10 years
I have a job/career which consumes literally all of my time. I don't claim to be an expert on stocks, nor do I have the time to become one. I don't want to invest in bonds or ETFS either. Is there a stock or even two stocks that you'd recommend …
do you actually trust an LLM's read on a trade, or only use it for research?
I keep going back and forth on where an LLM belongs in a signal workflow, and what I keep getting stuck on is the sources. For the stuff around the trade they've been great. Reading filings, summarizing a pile of news, debugging backtest code. I'd be annoyed to go back. …
KMPR update
Kemper’s California nonstandard auto book is about $1.8B of premium (it was about $2.1B last year). That book has been running around a 107% combined ratio, so they’re losing roughly 7 cents on every dollar of premium. California Department of Insurance just approved about a 7% price increase on the …
Home Depot and Lowe's
I'm sure you guys are aware how much home depot has fell Ytd. If you don't know, they have fell almost 19% this year for absolutely no reason. Yes, at some point the market did fall because of the oil prices but then eventually recovered. But, Home Depot is yet …
How AI affect your investing
**Question for the group:** With AI advancing so quickly, how are you using it in your stock investing/research? * Do you use AI for most of your research? * Only for specific tasks? * Do you use AI tools to find stocks or build positions? * Or do you avoid …
Largest valuation in 10 years
10 years from now, what company will have the largest market cap?
13 checks I run before I'll own a stock. Which ones are dead weight?
I've been working with a 13-point checklist for evaluating companies, loosely built on classic value principles. Each check gets scored 1 to 5: 1. EPS trend 2. ROE trend 3. ROIC 4. Debt-to-equity 5. Free cash flow 6. Profit margins 7. Retained earnings 8. Graham intrinsic value 9. DCF value …
Blind valuation challenge: a large US consumer company, 5 numbers, no name. Cheap or expensive?
I'm trying a small experiment: judge a company only on its numbers, with no name or story to bias you. Large-cap US consumer company. Data as of today (Oct 5): 1. **Earnings yield: 6.2%.** Profits are 6.2% of the share price per year (10y Treasury is \~4–5%). 2. **Return on …
Google a screaming buy?
OpenAI and Anthropic are losing money hand over fist. Conversely, Alphabet has almost a quarter of a trillion in cash, plus massive distribution. Alphabet is expert at monetising free products via ads. OpenAI had to charge $200 per month for dots, whereas if Google ever releases an agent, they can …