Posts
About AI replacing everything and SAAS
I think a lot of people don’t understand the most important thing. AI is being used for free because it’s being subsidised by large investments and future payments. As a result, you can use Claude, Gemini, ChatGPT for free. Soon they would not be able to do it because Microsoft …
What are your Top 3 "Deep Value" plays?
And when I say "Deep Value" I don't mean companies like META or MSFT... While those companies are cheaper than the broader market, I wouldn't say they are "deep" value. I'm referring to companies that the market absolutely despises and has punished severely; down 60,70 or even over 80% from …
What's everyone reading?
So in an effort to discuss something different. What's everyone reading, finance wise, right now? Currently I'm working my way through Quantitative Trading by Chan. Also slowing reading Dividends Still Don't Lie. Next in the queue are Investment Valuation (which I scored used for like $7!) and rereading One Up …
Every stock price already implies a growth rate. Almost nobody bothers to solve for it.
The current price of any stock already implies the growth rate the business has to deliver to be worth it. You can extract that number with a spreadsheet in about five minutes. Most people never do. This is what a reverse DCF actually is. Not a forecasting tool but an …
Accenture stock dilemma
I have around 900 shares of Accenture and am currently sitting on a significant unrealized loss. I’m unsure how to proceed from here and would appreciate some perspective. For context, I did not purchase these shares directly as an investment. Instead, I accumulated them gradually through my paycheck and employee …
Adobe DCF sensitivity analysis
I won't bore y'all with bull/bear convictions on Adobe. The truth is, nobody can tell the future and I don't have a crystal ball. *But what I do have are a very particular set of skills. Skills I have acquired over a very long career.* Unfortunately they're not as cool …
Greenland Energy (GLND): A Ridiculously Asymmetric Frontier Oil Bet Disguised as a Broken SPAC
Hi guys — I figured I’d post about a very unusual setup that I think the market is currently misunderstanding: Greenland Energy Company (GLND). This is a classic scenario where a stock is heavily discounted due to short-term selling (mostly due to recent shareholder-dilution), but the underlying assets and upcoming …
Leidos (LDOS) is my next value play
I’ve been looking at Leidos (LDOS) and think it might be an interesting value play. Leidos is a government IT / defense / cyber contractor. Not exciting, but the business is tied to DoD, intelligence agencies, civil government, aviation, and health programs. Current snapshot: * Price: **\~$108.67** * Market cap: …
When a high dividend yield and a high value score show up together, is it a real bargain or a trap?
Disclosure: I work at Obermatt, a research firm that ranks stocks relative to peers on metrics like Value, Growth, Safety, and Dividend Yield, sharing this because the overlap here is a good test case for separating real value from value traps. Pulled the European stocks with a perfect Dividend Yield …
What sector do people think actually has good value right now?
Most of the market feels and is expensive right now, but I believe in any market there are always pockets and companies where sentiment is bad enough that value might exist. I am curious where people here are seeing the best risk/reward today. Some areas that seem to come up …