Posts
Everyone knows the hurricane trade - buy Home Depot and Lowe's before the season. I tested 16 years of data. It loses.
Every June the same idea comes back around: hurricane season is starting, storms mean damage, damage means rebuilding, rebuilding means Home Depot and Lowe's print money. buy before the season, ride the demand. it sounds so obviously right that people repeat it every year without checking. so I checked. **method:** …
我又犯了一个错误，好在我改进了它
周末研究量化选股时，我发现原来的板块判断逻辑有一个明显问题。 用板块涨幅判断板块热度，这只能说明这个板块过去已经涨了多少。 但它回答不了这些问题： 1.是少数龙头拉升，还是多数股票共同上涨？ 2.相对强度刚开始改善，还是已经强了很久？ 3.内部扩散正在扩大，还是已经开始收缩？ 4.当前是主升初期，还是高位加速？ 5.板块收益来自真实联动，还是一两只权重股 查阅资料后，我考虑引入扩散度。 即动量扩散、趋势扩散、突破扩散、等权与市值加权差异、板块内部集中度，以及 breadth 的变化率和斜率。 再结合 RRG相对旋转图，去观察板块相对市场处于 Improving、Leading、Weakening 还是 Lagging。 为什么要这么做？很简单的目的：不想在高潮分歧后去接盘。 另外我也注意到一个问题：一只股票今天属于某个板块，不代表两年前也属于。举个例子：拿今年出版的地图，去规划去年的路线。但是去年那条路可能还没修。
What Non Tech, Non AI Stocks To Explore?
Currently looking into non tech, non AI, non quantum, non space stocks. I mean I am quite heavy on tech sector and would like to explore other sectors that may have been good to hold for the long. One of such stocks I am looking at is $COKE. And another …
Largest Data Center Project Ever Proposed Is Officially Dead
[https://finance.yahoo.com/technology/articles/largest-data-center-project-ever-190000713.html](https://finance.yahoo.com/technology/articles/largest-data-center-project-ever-190000713.html) Blackstone-owned QTS Realty Trust withdrew its appeal to the Virginia Supreme Court on July 2, closing out a three-year legal fight over the Prince William Digital Gateway, a planned 2,100-acre campus in Prince William County, Virginia that would have packed 37 buildings and 22 million square feet of data …
If not now WEN?
I'm going to keep this short. This is not a rallying cry or call for war, this is just a moment of reflection. A moment to look in the mirror and ask yourselves if you really believe that clown faced fuck Ronald Mcdipshit is really 21x hotter than the red …
The same sell-off sounds very different depending on where you read about it
I've only been on Reddit for a couple of weeks, and one thing I've noticed is how differently people explain the exact same market move. On English forums, I mostly see profit taking, rotation, valuations, rates... Then I open Chinese investor forums and the story is usually much darker😂 A …
From Macron to Modi, governments are rolling out the red carpet for AI giants
Key Points * French President Emmanuel Macron and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi have stepped up personal outreach to major tech CEOs. * France and India are trying to secure AI data centers, cloud infrastructure and chip investment. * The push comes as the U.S. and China remain ahead in …
Judge my strategy.
I love the gambling aspect of investing, but I also appreciate the power of compounding over time in the market. A few things I believe; The market goes up in the long run. Time in the market bears timing the market. The best returns come after the crash, stay invested. …
Effect of Using Margin on AI related Equities
I have witnessed what appears to be mechanical automated selling on a number of occasions (in the last three months), specifically when all AI stocks take a massive dive. My assumption is that part of the automated selling is from brokerages performing forced automated selling for margin calls on these …