Posts
Stocks are barely off highs despite high yields and war. Is the market expecting Trump to cave in to high yields like he did last year?
Bond yields are ripping higher at an astounding pace. 5% is within reach for the 10 year. And it makes perfect sense given the indefinite closure of Hormuz, painfully high inflation, and increasing expectations for a Fed rate hike. Yet markets are only 2-3% off all time highs. And just …
AI is cool, it's just not there yet sorry bull. -50% for indexes.
Claude is nice for Excel and coding but it continues to have brain dead problems. One of the worst things about AI is that in a long context wind6, even if you feed it a perfectly clear chronological order of events, it will start jumbling them up. Even when you …
weird piling into COST and CRWD
Look at these charts over the last week or so, crazy climbs. People think this is the place to go when bailing out of semi's? CRWD has NEVER made a profit, no PE ratio at all and went from $440 on 5/1 to $625? Crazy overbought. And COST which is …
85% recurring revenue. 5x revenue growth in 5 years. The biotech royalty engine Wall Street forgot.
**TL;DR:** Halozyme ($HALO) licenses drug delivery tech that transforms hour-long IV infusions into 5-minute subcutaneous injections. 62% royalty revenue, 10 launched products with 20+ more in development, $781M owner earnings. The stock dropped 23% because GLP-1 competition is hurting some partner drugs. I think Wall Street is overreacting to a …
Chip dumps on good news or bad news.
Many perma bull were gloating about chips which continue to dump when on good news. Chips dump off even in Iran resolution, that's how much of a bubble chips are. They have absolutely no ability to go up, only down. Chips CONTINUE to just be an absolutely massive bubble waiting …
Starting with your risk appetite and then moving towards stock picking
The end goal is picking the right stocks to trade after having to systematize your risk management per se. i) One of the more obvious ways to choose stocks based on your risk profile is to screen for your comfortable price ranges: If we take a constant loss in absolute …
Ryanair CEO: "Europe won’t run out of jet fuel. We bought 80% of our jet fuel requirements out to March 2027 at $67. We're in great shape."
Find the link to the interview in the comments below (this sub bans YT links in posts). During an interview for Bloomberg, Michael O'Leary, CEO of Ryanair, low-cost European airline, said: >*"At Ryanair, we typically hedge 80% of our fuel. We're 80% hedged out to March 2027, $67 a barrel. …
Shares and bonds steady as oil eases on Trump's Iran comments
[https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/global-markets-global-markets-2026-05-19/](https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/global-markets-global-markets-2026-05-19/) Global markets were mixed on Tuesday as investors reacted to lower oil prices and comments from President Donald Trump about possible progress in U.S.-Iran talks. His remarks raised hopes that tensions in the Middle East could ease, helping push oil prices lower and reducing some inflation concerns. Asian markets …
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Technicals Tuesday - May 19, 2026
This is the daily discussion, so anything stocks related is fine, but the theme for today is on technical analysis (TA), but if TA is not your thing then just ignore the theme. Some helpful day to day links, including news: * [Finviz](https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=spy) for charts, fundamentals, and aggregated news on …
SPY: New all-time highs on -40% volume? What gives?
I've been staring at the SPY chart and noticed something that doesn't sit right. Since the March 30 trough, SPY hasn't just recovered. It was in fact 18% above the trough and 8% higher than the old high. But volume tells a completely different story. Average daily volume since the …