Posts
What Smart Money Is Really Doing This Week (COT + CME OI/Volume)
Hello everyone. I processed the weekly close by combining four key metrics from my analysis model: **Statistical Momentum (Z‑Score)**, **Institutional Flow (COT net variation)**, **AI (probability via Machine Learning)**, and **CME validation through daily Open Interest and Volume**, which confirms whether COT movements were directional or merely technical. This is …
Where to invest in TONA Futures?
Hi All. I was wondering if there are any brokers that offer trading of TONA futures on margin? IBKR does not offer margin, and NinjaTrader does not have them at all. I am trying to get direct exposure to BOJ decisions on rates, and I need margin. Also, the multiplier …
My view on the current climate. This is what I am looking out for
**It’s not about price, but volume** **Falling prices in oil obscure the real damage in Hormuz** # [**Summary**]() **Thesis:** The Ceasefire between the US and Iran is fragile. Not oil prices will drive inflation, but the consequences of **physical oil supply constraints**. This will show first in Southeast Asian manufacturing. …
Can someone give me a honest opinion on this portfolio?
I have about £3k per month to invest and have a strong risk tolerance. But I feel I am looking at it this too long and getting caught up analysing/being greedy. Invesco EQQQ Nasdaq-100 (Dist) EQQQ 25% Xtrackers MSCI World ex USA (Acc) EXUS 22.5% VanEck Semiconductor (Acc) SMGB 10% …
How do you track whether your original reason for owning a stock is still true?
I own around \~10 individual stocks. For each one I bought it because I believed something specific. NVDA for AI compute and their ridiculous margins, GOOG for their tens of multi billion user platforms, COST for the membership flywheel. That kind of thing. Coming to my problem: I have no …
Another doom post ... just look at that Shiller PE.
[Shiller PE at 39.4](https://i.imgur.com/bmroL3M.png), surpassed only by the peak of the 2000 tech bubble. Back then, it took [15 years for real-dollar market prices to recover](https://i.imgur.com/2M1waVh.png). How about the [market cap to GDP ratio](https://i.imgur.com/bxlXkEq.png)? Way above year 2000 level. But perhaps this is all because the SP500 is more international …
Wondering if MNCTN Global is a scam?
Hi everyone, I'm sorry if this is not the right place for this. Does anyone use [MNCTNGlobal.com](http://MNCTNGlobal.com) online trading platform? I'm not looking for investing advice. I'm just getting into investing in the market, started with $350. Withdrew $20 to prove it worked after making some profits. After 2wks of …
A lot of people still see a comeback story here. This looks more like a rebuild
Most beaten-down stocks that try to come back follow a familiar script. The same business trims costs, tweaks strategy, maybe changes management, and tries to stabilize revenue. That is a turnaround story. This one looks different. A turnaround tries to improve the existing machine. A rebuild replaces major parts of …
DVLT under $1 with $77M in Q1 fees already booked
DVLT is trading around $0.68 while reporting $77M in fees from $750M in Q1 2026 tokenization contracts (per last 10-Q). Those fees come from mining assets, copper programs, and IP licensing agreements that are already signed and active. At this price, the market is valuing the company below where many …
Simplest medium-term investment for taxable account?
In the US for someone in a low tax bracket, to make investing for the 5-10 year term in a taxable account VERY simple, is there an approach better than just doing DCA into a Target Index fund with a date ten years into the future? With the low fees …