Posts  / SP500  / #POST-224335
REDDIT

Another doom post ... just look at that Shiller PE.

V
Apr 10, 2026 · 20:02


[Shiller PE at 39.4](https://i.imgur.com/bmroL3M.png), surpassed only by the peak of the 2000 tech bubble.

Back then, it took [15 years for real-dollar market prices to recover](https://i.imgur.com/2M1waVh.png).

How about the [market cap to GDP ratio](https://i.imgur.com/bxlXkEq.png)? Way above year 2000 level.

But perhaps this is all because the SP500 is more international ... yet [SP500 revenue share from abroad has been between 35% and 42% (+/- 3%) since these data start in 2002](https://i.imgur.com/t9QhrfD.png).

Anyway, I'm hedged out of the market.

I'm sure this time it's different.

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