Posts
Investing with leverage: Am I thinking correctly?
I have $5000. I'm looking to invest at 100:1 in US 500. I would like to place my investment and forget about it, so I'm willing to tolerate a 15% price fall, on the premise that it will eventually go back up (like what happened with the war on Iran, …
The AI Bubble: When the Hype Meets Reality
The current trajectory of artificial intelligence valuations feels less like a sustainable technological revolution and more like a classic speculative mania. For some time now, we’ve been seeing an \*\*unnatural overvaluation of AI company stocks\*\*. We are currently perched at the \*\*Peak of Inflated Expectations\*\*, where companies are rewarded with …
Right now with how the economy is going, would it be to wise to invest 100K in an 100% worldwide equities ETF portfolio or split some between savings accounts, bonds etc? LONG TERM horizon but also wondering about consensus over next 12 months
Right now with how the economy is going, would it be to wise to invest 100K in an 100% worldwide equities ETF portfolio or split some between savings accounts, bonds etc? LONG TERM horizon but also wondering about consensus over next 12 months With the current state of the economy, …
Open-source tools or schemas for durable portfolio data that LLMs can analyze?
Hi everyone! I’m looking for recommendations on how people structure long-term portfolio data outside of broker apps or SaaS dashboards. I’m especially interested in workflows/tools that make portfolio data: \- portable and local-first \- readable as plain files, e.g. JSON/CSV/JSONL \- able to represent holdings, transactions, snapshots, asset metadata, and …
How do you build a big picture/story?
I am deliberately not looking for specific stocks/etfs, but general ways to determine the course of how you think the world will shape up in the next few months, next year, and even next few years? For example, currently in my "story" I have China becoming more resilient and recovering …
$LTH: zero chatter/no retail
I went long in Lifetime Fitness last year. The thesis is that they print money, the multiples are criminally low compared to industry comps, the k shaped economy will only grow helping its ICP (rich ppl), its immune from tariffs/war/ai, and absolutely no1 from retail is in it. It’s hard …
Market growth - realization
Sp500 is currently at \~66 trillion dollars market cap, assuming a conservative 8% annual growth rate. sp500 will reach 1 quadrillion in 36 years. This means that the top company in 30-40 years will likely be worth more than 70 trillion (more than the current Sp500 market cap right now), …
Economic Calendar Monday May 4, 2026 - Key events and what I'm watching (RBA decision, Fed Williams, Factory Orders)
Sharing my macro calendar notes for tomorrow. Here's what I'll be watching: \*\*RBA Rate Decision - 8:30 PM ET (TOP EVENT)\*\* Prev: 4.1% | Consensus/Forecast: 4.35% Markets pricing a 25bps hike. AUD/USD and ASX futures will be very active around this. If they hold instead of hiking, AUD drops fast. …
Is the US externalizing its debt burden through geopolitical conflict?
Look, I’ve been thinking about why U.S. Treasury yields keep climbing even with all this U.S.-Iran tension. Traditionally you’d expect a flight to safety into Treasuries, but that’s not really happening this time. The common media take is that it’s negative: war pushes up oil, oil pushes up inflation, and …
Early 20s, starting med school in 2027: best investing/financial moves for my situation?
I’m in my early 20s and fortunate enough to be living with my parents before I matriculate into medical school in late 2027, and for now, they pay for food, mortgage, etc since I stay with them. Between now and then, I expect to make around $30–40k working full-time, and …