Posts
Why are analysts projected higher price targets for NRG Energy (NRG) Stock?
For a shrinking company that has been down -35.96% just this past year, why are so many analysts bullish on this stock? TipRanks 12 month forecast suggests a **80.87% upside** and the same on Market Beat! I find it hard to believe that a company like NRG with a overwhelming …
UHS: the market is pricing a 2028 Medicaid cut as permanent, and you're getting the hospital business for almost free
**TL;DR:** UHS is the cheapest large US hospital operator (7.6x forward) because the market is treating one 2028 Medicaid change as a permanent hit. I think it's partial, and on peer multiples the behavioural segment alone is worth close to the whole company, so you are paying almost nothing for …
North America Payment Processing Oligopoly (V, MA, AXP)
Given the oligopoly that exists between Visa, Mastercard and American Express, are you looking at investing any of these companies? The valuations are typically high given the fairly strong moats, though I am concerned about the growth opportunities given that they have largely saturated the west and the east uses …
First Watch ($FWRG), why Cracker Barrel Changed its Logo
Wrote an [article](https://gregw134.substack.com/p/first-watch-fwrg-why-cracker-barrel?r=23iup&utm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web) on First Watch ($FWRG). I would post directly here but pictures aren't allowed. The company is Starbucksifying breakfast, it's competing on quality and style where Denny's/IHOP/Waffle House compete on price. Very popular in the Midwest and South and expanding nationally, currently at 650 restaurants with a target …
EIX Tanking
California utilities are tanking this morning. The sole reason is that CA didn't pass wildfire legislation. EIX down almost 25%. Dividend yield is now 6.5%. 2.8x divvy coverage ratio. A 25% haircut for an event that may never happen seems way overdone IMO. If nothing else you could see a …
The expensive part of timing the market was never the selling -> it was knowing when to get back in
The expensive part of market timing was never the selling. It was figuring out when to get back in, and I never got that 2nd part right. People treat timing like one decision: exit before the drop. It's two. You have to be right about when to leave and right …
Where do you park you money before finding opportunities?
I always have a bit of cash on hand and I buy my value investment in small chunks to be able to average done when necessary. In the past few month I used Canadian bank ETF (RBNK.TO) instead of keeping cash. It move up pretty well and pays good DIV. …
Is Alphabet value right now?
Alphabet has pulled back from its recent high of roughly $408. I know reported P/E is affected by investment gains, so I’m more interested in valuing the underlying operating business. Given the growth in Cloud, YouTube, AI infrastructure/Gemini and the broader Google ecosystem, how are people here thinking about Alphabet’s …
Zetrix at 2x PE
Zetrix makes most of its money from two businesses: providing government concessionary services and collecting a “toll fee” on every transaction that passes through some China blockchain project. It mainly operates in Southeast Asia and serves government-related projects (i.e. B2G) across the region, aiming to transform the underlying rails of …
SOGP - SOUND Group Inc - H1 Earnings Review and Value
Sound Group Inc. operates as an AI-powered audio company in the People's Republic of China. The company offers voice live streaming, multi-user voice interaction, and podcast content for social entertainment, online companionship, and interest-based engagement; and content creation platforms, which enable intelligent event planning, voice enhancement, and AI-driven interactive features. …