Posts
HUBS (& CRM) - A short write up
HubSpot ( HUBS ) is a marketing software as a service platform - competing with SalesForce ( CRM ). HUBS is down 53% YTD. Revenue up 23% YOY (5 Y CAGR 28%) and operating income up from -23M to +29M YOY (1Q2026). Asset/Liabilities is 2,1x and Income/Liabilities is 0,025. HUBS …
Makes a fortune in cash. Costs almost nothing to run. Protected by patents until 2037. COLL at $35 looks too cheap.
TL;DR: Collegium ($COLL) sells patent-protected extended-release drugs for pain and ADHD. Asset-light, 61% gross margins, ~$290M owner earnings, revenue compounding ~20% for five years. Including ~$488M of net debt, the whole enterprise trades around 5.6x owner earnings. I think the market is pricing a cash-gushing business as if it's dying …
Small caps on the AI power bottleneck (CGEH, FCEL, others?)
Quick note after reading up on the AI data-center power bottleneck (HV transformers 3–5 year lead times, BYOP trend, etc.). Main names I’m tracking: \- \*\*Bloom Energy (BE)\*\* – big Oracle deal, fuel cells avoid HV/MV transformers, cleaner/quieter, faster to deploy than turbines. \- \*\*Capstone Green Energy (CGEH)\*\* – microturbines …
Any thoughts on buy and hold lowest PE ratio Mag 7 stock? (backtested)
**Rule tested:** each year buy the Mag7 stock with the lowest **positive** year-end trailing P/E from the prior year, hold for 1 year, rebalance annually. Selections were mostly **Apple 2013–2020**, then **Meta 2021–2024**, then **Google 2025**. Apple’s PE was very low in the 2010s, often around 10–16, and Meta became …
Betting on battery storage CATL 3750.HK
The ticker 3750 is the stock that foreigners can buy on the Hong Kong exchange. The other ticker 300750 is traded in Shenzhen. The Hong Kong shares trade at a 60% premium to the Shenzhen shares, but I still think they’re cheap relative to the fundamentals. CATL is the world’s …
What are your favorite value ETFs?
People keep trying to pick individual stocks, or argue that Amazon and Nvidia are “value stocks” but I’m curious- what are your favorite value ETFs? \*Bonus points if you choose something less common than VTV(which is a great ETF just curious about alternatives)
Is it possible predict a bull run?
Isn’t there a paradox in trying to predict a bull market using current market sentiment? By the time sentiment is positive, prices have probably already moved up. But when sentiment is negative, most news will still look bad, which makes it hard to justify calling a new bull market early. …
Industries well positioned for continued AI growth?
Assuming we see continued RAM shortage and AI growth - what are some peripheral industries that could ride the wave? I'm looking at space, clean energy...what else?
Rightmove ($RMV.L): a 253% ROIC platform now trading 44% below the takeover offer its board rejected in 2024
*Researched and valued as of 21 June 2026. If you're reading this a few days later, treat the price/multiples below as a snapshot from that date, not today's numbers.* Rightmove operates the UK's leading property portal: a two-sided marketplace where estate agents and new-homes developers pay monthly subscription fees to …
Intuit (INTU): I'm Intu Deep
Intuit's stock price has fallen 66% year-on-year. Opportunity, or not? Even before getting into nerdy financial analysis: * Intuit trades at a trailing **P/E** of **16.1x**, despite growing revenue by **14% year-over-year** during the first nine months of fiscal 2026. I liked what I was looking at. So I spent …