Posts
5 Reasons Why I Believe The Stock Market is Overvalued
I have been looking at the stock market and I am caught between two competing narratives. The first narrative is that we are in a new era. AI will create unlimited abundance where the old rules of value creation are forever broken. That we are at the beginning of a …
S&P Global Considering Spinning Out Cap IQ - Why?
On Sept 1 Bloomberg published a report that S&P Global (SPGI) is considering spinning out Capital IQ (CapIQ) which is currently in the "Market Intelligence" business segment. This comes on the heels of the July 2026 Mobility Global (previously "Mobility" business segment) spin out. Why? These assets were acquired largely …
Western Union yields over 11% and just launched a stablecoin product. Reward or value trap?
Hi all, some of you might recognize me from previous posts here. I'm the GM of the stock business at Obermatt. We run a rules-based ranking system that scores stocks 1 to 100 against their industry peers across Value, Growth, Safety, and Sentiment. This month I went through the highest …
A Korean media company lost ₩783bn before tax over three years and still booked ₩178bn of tax expense
I read DART filings every day. This one made me stop. CJ ENM is the company behind Parasite and a lot of Korean television. It shows up on screens at 998 times earnings. My first assumption was a data error. It isn't. Trailing twelve-month net income is ₩738 million. Million, …
IX Biopharma - SGX Stock
Curious about this stock **February 2026:** US government awarded a **US$41m sole-source development contract** through the Defense Health Agency Contracting Activity, 36-month period of performance. It funds Phase 3 *and* the regulatory work required for an Emergency Use Authorization for Department of Defense use. **September 2026:** a declaration was published …
One year of stock deep dives in this sub. Here's every call, including the ones that went wrong.
We started posting in this sub in August 2025. A year on, we went back through everything we published and looked at how those stocks have actually done. The table below includes every individual stock deep-dive we published in this sub. No cherry-picking. That transparency is usually missing - people …
How do you realistically keep up with 10-Q/10-K filings during peak earnings season when holding 15+ individual US positions?
Hey everyone, I'm trying to refine my portfolio management routine and address a bottleneck that hits every earnings season. As my portfolio grew past 15 holdings across different US sectors, peak reporting weeks have become tough to manage rigorously. I'd love to learn from other fundamental/value investors about your actual …
What meaningful changes inside a business are hardest for you to catch early?
One thing I’ve noticed as a long-term investor is that access to information usually isn’t the problem anymore. The harder part is recognizing which changes inside a business are actually meaningful before they become obvious in the headline numbers. A few examples I think about: deterioration or improvement in unit …
Another Take Volkswagen
I just found out their total assets on their balance sheet are worth 660 billion but in the market they are worth 40 billion lmao With their 14 billion debt they seem massively undervalued i actually cannot understand how that is even possible i bought some more
When to sell stocks (read post)
On my first trade I doubled my starting position. I was wondering what is the standard tactic? Should I sell half or sell my whole position? Please advise me on trimming/selling. My first position was 5k to 10k. So please advise me a lot. (I wish to avoid the overconfidence …