Posts
Higher risk etf for greater return
is buying Soxx or smh on this dip a risky longterm investment or would you say it’s safe too allocate 10 percent of my wealth as a higher growth play is there any other ETFS you would favour for a higher return ?
How dangerous is it to rely on P/E ratio?
It all start with "oh low P/E, it is value" However, the more I learn, the deeper the rabbit hole go. I could spend day crunching number, reading all the thing about the company. To a point that, I question myself, why make it so complicated. Just looking at additional …
Debt and Rising inflation
How are you positioning yourself and what is generally considered best practice during a market, where currencies are devaluated, inflation rising and debt rising. * Which asset classes are you going for? * Bonds * Stocks * Real estate * Cash on hand * Gold * Silver * Bitcoin * …
LDOS, a government IT toll bridge with a $47B backlog, trading at a 38% discount to intrinsic value
I've been digging into Leidos (LDOS), a $16B defense and government IT contractor. I think the market is overly focused on near-term headwinds and mispricing a highly durable business. Wanted to share my work. ## What they do Leidos provides the digital and technological backbone for the U.S. government. They …
Micron Technology needs 20.2% annual cash-flow growth in my model. Too much?
The market is asking a lot from Micron Technology. At $924.03, today's price only works in my model if cash flow grows about 20.2% a year for the next 10 years. Recently, reported FCF fell about 18.8% a year (FY2022-FY2025). The hurdle uses unlevered cash flow; the historical figure above …
Temu's entire business model was built around a tariff exemption. The US ended it. The EU is threatening to do the same.
Temu's whole business model was built on a tariff loophole that just closed, and now the EU's closing its version too. PDD's the Chinese parent behind Pinduoduo (domestic e-commerce) and Temu, the ultra-low-price app that expanded hard into the US, Europe, Latin America. Temu's edge was the de minimis exemption, …
here are the +20 models from the tickers chosen by you guys!
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NTCT: A Profitable Core Business with AI as an Embedded Option.
NETSCOUT (NTCT) provides network performance monitoring and cybersecurity solutions to large enterprises, telecom operators, and government agencies. Unlike products that mainly analyze server-generated logs, NETSCOUT can directly observe the data actually moving across a network, helping customers identify network slowdowns, system failures, and cyberattacks. Its installed base among large customers …
Built a composite of Graham/Buffett/Greenblatt/Lynch + a Damodaran DCF over ~2,400 names. Fair values run below market almost everywhere. Roast the model, not the market.
Been building my own valuation stack on the side for about a year, all free data (SEC filings, mostly). Not selling anything, everything on the site is open and you can pull the whole [evaluations CSV](https://kabrios.com/data/evaluations.csv) without signing up. Looking for people who do this for a living to tell …
Diversifying GOOG?
I have been working at Google for many years now so I have a lot of RSU/stocks at Google (never touched it). That makes up \~70% of my investments. Rest is in index fund strategy and alternative investments. Question I have is - what can I do with the Google …