Posts
Does anyone systematically track whether management actually delivers on previous earnings-call promises?
When researching a company, I find it relatively easy to access the latest earnings call, 10-Q and investor presentation. What I find much harder is reconstructing what management said six, twelve or eighteen months ago and determining whether it actually happened. For example: \- Management promises a product launch by …
Google bonds
If you buy bonds expiring 2075, you get a yield of 6.229. Obviously there is a risk here but I wonder if this could be safer than just being in the stock right now. Thoughts? I would sell after market looks safer.
Decided to see if AI could build a better Value Portfolio. Here's the verdict so far
Claude became the de-facto way I did a lot of equity research, since it can do so many things, even with just public data from the web. I decided to run an experiment (still in progress) by giving it tons of curated data to see if it could build a …
The Tech Selloff Is Turning Into a Rout - Barron’s
*(TLDR: momentum works both ways.)* [**The Tech Selloff Is Turning Into a Rout**](https://trk.barrons.com/click/46621945.29842/aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuYmFycm9ucy5jb20vYXJ0aWNsZXMvdGVjaC1zdG9jay1tYXJrZXQtc2VsbG9mZi10aGluZ3MtdG8ta25vdy10b2RheS1hNjAwODRiMz9tb2Q9ZGplbV9iX0ZlYXR1cmU/65dd956356d8fbcc5e005c15Gba12360a) SPENCER PLATT/GETTY IMAGES When it rains, it pours. The AI trade is getting hit by a deluge of bad news right now, and the forecast doesn’t look good. Where to start? Chip stocks are close to bear …
Mobility Global, a wide-moat business that's currently undervalued?
Mobility Global (ticker MBGL) is S&P Global's recent spinoff. It's a wide-moat business and owner of CARFAX. Currently sitting around $20, which is down about 19% in just over two weeks. I've been digging into the numbers and honestly I think this might be a classic case of spinoff selling …
Streaming giant Netflix fall more than 10% after revenue fell short of estimates
Netflix forecast third-quarter revenue of $12.86 billion and diluted EPS of 82 cents EPS: $0.80 vs. $0.79 Expected Revenue: $12.56B vs. $12.58B Expected Earnings weren't great, numbers were pretty underwhelming ngl. IMO they really need to push harder into live events especially sports like NFL boxing mma and expand their …
DCF Calculations?
Just curious for those who use DCFs as their basis for any valuations. What discount rates and growth rates you use? Do you use single stage or multi stage growth? I usually use 10 year treasury for discount rate and inflation for growth rate but trialling multi stage. Think I …