Posts
Newbie investor
Hi , from past few months I started learning about stock market and slowly investing . I have non technical background Somewhere while analyzing a company or looking at balance sheet to understand i taken back. But if someone analyze about a company in video I understand very well . …
Thoughts in TMUS?
Would love to hear folks thoughts. Q2 beat on both earnings and revenue, steady subscriber growth, and a hefty buyback program. Could be an opportunity to buy quality at a discount. Currently down 38% from high.
ServiceTitan looks attractive
Hey guys, ServiceTitan (TTAN) is around $57 after the recent selloff. FY27 revenue guidance is about $1.14B, recent growth \~21%, with \~$480M cash and little debt. Biggest concern for me is SBC/dilution. My DCF: Conservative case: \~12% growth fading to 4%, 19% terminal FCF margin, 11% discount rate → \~$34/share …
The coin flip that explains why Buffett's Rule #1 actually matters (Ergodicity & Margin of Safety)
Let me offer you a bet. we flip a coin. heads, i pay you 50% of whatever you put in. tails, you lose 40% of it. odds look favorable so most people would say yes. you win more than you lose (positive expected value) & if i offered this at …
Anyone watch Real Eisman Playbook? $GLAS and GLNG
He recently uploaded "The Big Short Partners" reunion [episode](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=It252p0Ec10&t=2s) last week. I particularly want to talk about the last 10 minutes of the segments on their long positions on Glass House ($GLAS) and Golar ($GLNG) and wanted to get your guys' outlook on both stocks. Both positions seem sensible and …
AppLovin (APP) balance sheet looks mind-blowing
Applovin balance sheet is crazy ridiculous that revenue growth, gross margins and profit margins are just mind-blowing. Would you consider this as a buy at this range given its almost at 52 week low and financials are still solid. Anybody who knows this company's business and are following thoroughly well …
Enron Fraud Report (Updated)
Earlier today released an analysis of Enron's 2000 10-K, which identifies red-flags before the collapse. Cut of lot of fluff and re-released it. Note: Yes, its free. Link: [https://substack.com/home/post/p-216125273](https://substack.com/home/post/p-216125273) Feel free to give it a read, and feedback is always appreciated.
I built a free stock evaluation toolkit on SEC filings (Burry's owners' earnings, DCF, reverse DCF). Public criticism already made it better.
I built a free stock evaluation toolkit that reads SEC filings and refuses to print numbers it can't stand behind. It started as a calculator for the stock-comp method in Michael Burry's recent Cassandra Unchained articles, got posted to r/SecurityAnalysis and r/Burryology a few weeks ago, and grew from the …