Posts
Question for the Seasoned Investors
I am a 22 y/o that’s been investing and following markets for about 4 years now. I feel like much of the world is hyper fixated on AI, tech, and data/information that moves faster everyday… Companies moving +/- 10% on a daily basis, absurd valuations, and so much capex centered …
Real FCF Yield calculation question
Hi everyone, I'm looking to get some feedback on how you handle Stock-Based Compensation (SBC) adjustments when calculating Free Cash Flow (FCF) Yield, especially for high-growth tech stocks and when they repurchase at the same time as diluting ($DUOL for example). Do you use (FCF-SBC)/(Market cap) or something more sophisticated? …
Quantum Stocks
What are the best quantum computing stocks for the next 5-10+ years I’ve been researching quantum computing as a potential long-term investment (5–10+ year horizon) and would appreciate some feedback from people who have followed the industry longer than I have. So far, the companies that seem to come up …
Meta Platforms conservative fair value ~$810/share (feedback welcome)
Would appreciate pushback on the assumptions below. I'm currently landing at fair value of \~$810/share vs. \~$640/share. For context, META is one of my largest positions in my portfolio (\~$3mm cost, check my post history for context) Link to my model on Google Sheets: [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1dlt-9YaB1uV3RF4jz6snuS2GCahCeZPJHuCKcCUIm10/edit?gid=1127915579#gid=1127915579](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1dlt-9YaB1uV3RF4jz6snuS2GCahCeZPJHuCKcCUIm10/edit?gid=1127915579#gid=1127915579) * Assuming revenue grows 20% …
Netflix at a 4.3% cash flow yield is the definition of value
Netflix is a company pretty much everyone knows, especially in this sub. The stock has been hammered over the last few months, and it may have been for good reason this company at 40x earnings is overpriced. Well now we are down about 50% from there. Warranted? Maybe, but at …
Is Nvidia priced for perfection?
Nvidia's price climbed from about $11 in 2022 (split adjusted) to over $200 currently. After a run like that, people call it overvalued or priced for perfection. The idea is that everything has to go right from here, and that at this price there is no room left for disappointment. …
An Open Letter to ValueInvesting Mods
You really need to allow a well thought and well presented research ideas on stock analysis which are qualitative in nature and does not adhere to a strict definition of value investing, which is arguably too narrow. Qualitative analysis is just as much part of value investing as quantitative, even …
Tracking DCF portfolio vs index - S&P 500
I was working on a discounted cash flow tool using claude and thought of using the methodology to screen the entire S&P 500. I am running it since last 40+ days now. Some are loosers but overall performing better than index for now. It is purely mathematical. I want to …