Posts
Month end update
It’s time for the month end update from a stock picker. My highest percentage losing tickers are 1. Bidu -65% 2. Baba -50% 3. IBIT -18% 4. ZS -30% 5. netflix -22% 6. rddt -18% 7. orcl -16% My high level observations are 😄 1. Bull market continues 2. US …
Has anyone consistently beaten QQQ over the past 15 years?
QQQ has compounded at roughly 19.7% annually over the past 15 years. From everything I’ve read and observed, consistently beating an index like QQQ over the long term is extremely rare, probably fewer than 5% of investors. What percentage of the population do you think can actually do it? And …
DD: COF - 3 Levers to Drive Returns
Capital One is now a fairly large bank that primarily focuses on Credit Cards, Consumer Banking, and some Commercial. They are not a globally systematically important bank that offers full spectrum services (such as investment banking, wealth management, etc) so this is not a JPMorgan or Bank of America type …
Anyone investing in T1 Energy?
I know T1 Energy is a flyer and a new company but with it located in Texas (Austin) is this a play?
The Market’s Biggest U.S. Large-Cap Outliers
# TOP PERFORMERS | LARGE CAP | US EXCHANGES |Code|5D|Code|3Mths|Code|6Mths|Code|1Yr| |:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-| |VICR|20.5%|MRNA|205.5%|TXG|285.9%|MRNA|641.8%| |RMBS|20.1%|TEAM|152.6%|MRNA|241.0%|MU|584.9%| |MRNA|18.5%|TXG|125.9%|TWST|238.4%|TXG|575.3%| |TWLO|16.7%|MSTR|96.1%|DELL|199.7%|TWST|515.3%| |MPWR|13.4%|PAYC|80.7%|CORT|190.4%|LITE|490.3%| |GRAB|13.4%|PLTR|78.8%|TEAM|183.9%|VICR|414.7%| |AKAM|13.2%|PS|74.1%|UMC|181.7%|RVMD|353.7%| |META|13.0%|VEEV|71.4%|MU|180.8%|WDC|341.1%| |DOCN|12.2%|TWST|70.3%|AMD|179.0%|DELL|324.5%| |INTC|12.2%|ZS|69.8%|CRWD|170.5%|STX|323.8%| # WORST PERFORMERS | LARGE CAP | US EXCHANGES |Code|5D|Code|3Mths|Code|6Mths|Code|1Yr| |:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-| |NYT|\-11.6%|MNST|\-53.8%|CHTR|\-46.4%|CSGP|\-65.4%| |NVO|\-11.5%|MTZ|\-45.1%|XPEV|\-44.4%|FISV|\-64.2%| |ABNB|\-9.3%|GFS|\-44.3%|MNST|\-39.5%|IME|\-63.9%| |PAYX|\-8.9%|DKS|\-43.0%|ROL|\-38.8%|RBLX|\-62.2%| |VLO|\-8.8%|STRL|\-41.4%|NXT|\-37.1%|INTU|\-57.3%| |MPC|\-8.5%|TTMI|\-39.5%|ZTS|\-36.9%|HUBS|\-57.0%| |CHTR|\-8.5%|ON|\-38.0%|BSX|\-35.6%|CHTR|\-56.7%| |ALL|\-8.1%|MKSI|\-36.5%|LI|\-35.5%|LI|\-54.8%| |DINO|\-7.9%|AMKR|\-36.1%|ALB|\-35.2%|BSX|\-54.2%| |BKNG|\-7.0%|LII|\-34.7%|BWXT|\-34.8%|CPNG|\-54.1%| [The-Markets-Biggest-U.S.-Large-Cap-Outliers-What-Is-Driving-the-Winners-and-Losers](https://briidgeanalytics.com/The-Markets-Biggest-U.S.-Large-Cap-Outliers-What-Is-Driving-the-Winners-and-Losers)
FSLR (First Solar) - incredible opportunity after yesterday's 10% drop?
I've been looking at First Solar after the sell-off, and the valuation looks hard to ignore. Yesterday the stock fell 10.3% to close at $172.16. The drop came mostly from a broad solar sell-off I think. Enphase and SolarEdge fell too after all. The trailing P/E is about 10.6x now. …
Anyone have MRP on your portfolio now?
Seems like a very interesting investment for me, bottom of the housing cycle, below book value and all that. But the high dividend looks worrying as their payout ratio is very high. Any thoughts?
I started tracking 10 valuation dislocations in July. META and Microsoft are already +27pp vs SP500
I started tracking my valuation-dislocation ranking on 24 July. Two months is obviously too short to say much about LT returns, but I wanted to see which of the original dislocations have started closing relative to SP500. |Company|Return since 24 Jul|vs. SP500| |:-|:-|:-| |META|\~+31%|\+27 pp| |Microsoft|\~+30%|\+27 pp| |Adobe|\~+6%|\+2 pp| |CSU|\~+6%|\+2 …
Macy's bounced 58% and 148% on its way to losing 67%. Are AI-hit software stocks setting up the same way?
Was reading a thread this week about how disrupted companies trade, and the Macy's numbers stuck with me. Macy's had 2 big rallies: +58% in 2016 and +148% in 2018. Over 2015 to 2019 the shares still fell 67%, while SPY gained 73%. And those rallies weren't pure hype. Same …
JNJ — worth starting a small position?
Hi guys just trying to diversify a little- already long on google/ Reddit. Have been looking at Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) as a potential long-term value/dividend play? Anyone built up a good portion on this? And predictions for next few years. I know they’ve had a good last 12 months …