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NVDA: Investment Thesis, Current Valuation, Fair Price, Checklist, Due Diligence, and Watchlist Note
# Investment Thesis * NVIDIA is the **fastest-growing mega cap** in the market at its **lowest relative valuation** in five years: \~21x forward earnings against a 37.7x five-year average - below even the -1 standard deviation band. * Consensus expects **\~44% annual EPS growth** for the next five years. That …
I backtested every Seeking Alpha "Top 10" list since 2022. The boring approach (hold 12 months) beat the active one (switch every 6). Full data and methodology inside.
Quick context for this sub: every few weeks someone here asks whether Seeking Alpha's picks are worth following. I can't answer that in general, but I can share four and a half years of data on one specific corner of it – the free "Top 10 Stocks" lists – because …
AI trying to convince me peace time = sector rotation into industrials
I've been thinking about the proposed peace talks, but unless I'm totally out of the loop, I don't see peace happening anytime soon. Plus, if you look at the big picture over the last few years, the S&P 500 has been on an upward trend, so in the long run, …
A good article about the market and the economic situation
Accenture long
looking at accenture - acn - right now, the massive selloff in 2026 has created one of the most heavy market mispricings for a tier 1 tech consulting firm. the stock has dropped down toward 135 to 140 dollars, dragging the market cap down to around 85 billion dollars. if …
14 Investment write-ups to look at
14 write-ups from Substack worth reading, all published within the last week or so. Not my work - sourced from Giles Capital's weekly compilation: [https://gilescapital.substack.com](https://gilescapital.substack.com) # Americas **AlphaSeeker** on [**Alphabet**](https://alphaseeker84.substack.com/p/alphabet-inc-goog-q2-2026-results) (🇺🇸 GOOG US - US$3.9tn) Best quarter in company history: 24% revenue growth, 34% operating margins. Then raised $49.6B equity, …
Historically, a combination of a high P/E ratio and historically high profit margins precede a bear market.
Historically, the combination of a high [P/E ratio](https://www.multpl.com/s-p-500-pe-ratio) and historically[ high profit margins ](https://insight.factset.com/sp-500-reporting-highest-net-profit-margin-in-more-than-15-years-1)has been a highly reliable precursor to bear markets and poor long-term equity returns. When both metrics peak simultaneously, it indicates that stock prices are pricing in flawless future growth exactly at the moment when corporate profitability …
Has anyone looked at Veralto? A mission-critical spin-off from Danaher
Veralto is essentially a global industrial technology company that spinned-off from Danaher. It became an independent, publicly traded company in late 2023. **What they do** The company operates through two main pillars. The first is **Water Quality**, where they provide the precision instruments, chemicals, and software used to test and …
Nike's revenue grew 43% over ten years and its net income fell 17%. I think that one sentence is the whole quality verdict.
Nike keeps appearing on "quality on sale" lists, so I ran it through my research process properly rather than relying on the label I'd filed it under years ago. It failed on quality before I ever got to price. Fiscal 2016 versus fiscal 2026, from Nike's own releases: * Revenue: …
Gambling Stocks
Does anyone know why online gambling stocks across the board having seen a big price increase today. DKNG, Flutter, Evolution AB, Playtech, GAMB and more have seen a +5% day. Searched for any news but nothing is appearing and theres no macro news that I can think of that affects …