Posts
Long term beneficiary of AI
Recently hyperscalers like Msft, Meta, Amazon and Google has been going through lots of bashing for their high capex spending and ultimately loosing their prices. Plenty of people have sold and are selling them to invest in the probable short term beneficiaries of this capex semi/AI stocks like MU, SNDK, …
Deep dive on Micron
Micron reported earnings last Wednesday and many people want to know if there is still juice left to squeeze in the stock. My framework for evaluating stocks is to compare the sum of the projected revenue growth and trailing operating margin to the ratio of enterprise value divided by projected …
Nvidia Looks Like a Value Play With Understated TAM Forecasts
Not long ago, I did a deep dive into Micron’s fundamentals and it became apparent how important High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) has become for its revenue. Some even argue that this new type of memory is not a traditional cyclical, which led me down the rabbit hole of “Who’s buying …
POV: the market finally gives you the prices you wanted and you’re out of cash
There are many more examples than these but this is my portfolio top 5. Generational wealth or generational stupidity? >*“The beauty of stocks is that they do sell at silly prices from time to time…that's how Charlie and I have gotten rich.”* >*“Ben Graham had written about it in Chapter …
The Case on Salesforce Stock (CRM)
Because a surprising number of people own this stock (or its ETFs) without quite knowing what it sells, here is a simple breakdown first. Salesforce rents software seats to companies' sales, service, and marketing teams. When a salesperson logs a call, a support rep opens a ticket, or a marketer …
Should I dump ABTYX, CSAIX, FIHBX, WACSX?
I inherited a small IRA and am trying to improve performance. Among the holdings are ABTYX, CSAIX, FIHBX, and WACSX. All of them look shaky over the past 5 years. Zacks rated all of them as sell or strong sell, but Reddit has also advised me that Zacks is a …
Netflix, Mastercard, and Meta. Three holdings that I am depositing more cash into.
Netflix has a free cash flow that is contradictory to how the market has been treating it in the past few weeks. Considering their debt is low enough that it isn't a wide concern (AKA No WBD merger), I can see this stock easily trading in the 80s range. I'm …
My thoughts on CBRS
The investment case for Cerebras (CBRS) fundamentally rests on two core questions. First, is Andrew Feldman the right leader with the team to deliver and execute on the plan? Second, how much market share can he realistically take from the incumbents and hyperscaler alternatives, specifically folks like NVIDIA, AMD, AWS …
Does anyone use net-nets / cigar butts in US stocks? If so what market caps?
I want to know if classic Graham net-net / cigar butt investing is still doable in US stocks in 2026, from people who've actually done it with real money rather than backtested it. My account is under 100k, so the usual net-net liquidity problem isn't a problem for me. I …
Value investing in sectors?
Instead of considering individual stocks what sector currently would you say is undervalued? And perhaps from there it would be easier to find good value plays.