Posts
$Z: Time to bottom fish
Despite the housing market situation, Zillow continues to grow. In 2021, Zillow exited the business of buying and selling homes with its own balance sheet. This allowed the company to de-lever the balance sheet (no more long-term debt) and become profitable in 2025 as a pure fee/licensing business model. The …
Adobe: Everyone hates it, which is starting to get interesting
I’m not going to rehash the qualitative discussion here. It’s already been discussed extensively in this sub, almost to the point of becoming spam. If you’ve been following the conversations, the key points should be hard to miss. And if you somehow missed them, you may have been living under …
TOYO is the way to riches
If you like TE, you’ll love TOYO Same theme: U.S. solar manufacturing, domestic content, and tariff reshoring Different valuation \- Market value TE: \~USD 2.4B market cap / \~USD 2.7B EV post-raise TOYO: \~USD 510M market cap / \~USD 500M EV TE trades at roughly 4.6x TOYO’s market cap and …
Are you expanding growth portfolio or defensive (dividend stocks / bonds)?
So, stock market seems to be holding right now despite so many reasons for a bear market. It is overvalued with historically high P/E ratios based on assumptions that AI will be the most profitable thing ever, and will be perfectly capitalized in next 5 years with amazing growth for …
A $677M "operating system for autonomous flight" with $1M of quarterly revenue — generational asymmetry, or a SPAC story priced on arithmetic that isn't contracted yet?
**Quick background**: Merlin (NASDAQ: MRLN) went public via de-SPAC in March 2026. It retrofits existing military aircraft with an AI "digital pilot" — anchor program is a $105M ceiling IDIQ with USSOCOM for C-130J autonomy, plus KC-135 work. Q1 2026: $1.0M revenue, $23.3M Adjusted EBITDA burn, \~$183M cash after an …
$msft thoughts
What are your thoughts. Is msft experiencing the same phase as google (when people thought search business is done or they are losing the ai race). Amazon went through this when aws numbers were slightly down. ​ I think since they dropped the contract with open ai, they have freed …
ADBE with math
\~400 million shares outstanding. $25b buyback program through 2030. Scenario A: With the (current 201) premarket price: $25b / $201 - 119 million shares. 30% of the float. but assuming 201 is silly. Scenario B: Assume average cost for buybacks rises to $300. $25b / $300 = \~83 million shares. …
Honeywell Stock Jumps as Breakup Nears - Barron’s
Honeywell Stock Jumps as Breakup Nears - Barron’s By Al Root Updated June 11, 2026 4:37 pm EDT / Original June 11, 2026 7:46 am EDT https://www.barrons.com/articles/honeywell-automation-stock-aerospace-breakup-73257b66 Key Points \- Honeywell Automation aims for 4% to 6% annual sales growth and to expand profit margins to 24% over three years. …
Where does investing edge still come from today?
Everyone has access to the same filings, transcripts, screeners, data platforms, and now AI. So where do you think the edge actually is today? What’s still genuinely hard to replicate?
Is the clownish market upsetting anyone else?
Todays the big day. Where we see a company ipo over 2 trill based on a story. SpaceX appears to be TSLA on steroids. Promising the future in some way shape or form In the meanwhile you have value traps like paypal and Adobe dropping due to the very same …