Posts
Will OpenAI, Google, xAI (Grok), Anthropic, and Perplexity collaborate secretly on pricing?
Most of these companies will likely have access to almost "infinite" amounts of capital soon thanks to IPO, especially if the AI bubble turns out to be real. ​ What are your thoughts on pricing competition between these companies and will it cause lower margins and profitability issues ? Do …
SpaceX is 2.23T and that is funny
Thats 55 times sales, which there is precedent for in palantir, at 64 times sales; palantir is a capital light, highly profitable, high margin, very fast growing company (not used to saying positive things about palantir ever as they were the poster child of crazy valuations). Hopefully mods don't take …
Could Switching From Buybacks to Dividends Improve Value?
I think i can make a compelling case that companies like Adobe and PayPal would benefit from implementing a dividend policy. The problem with these companies has to do with uncertainty about the terminal value. Current underlying fundamentals look strong, but are those fundamentals resilient? And valuation is a question …
Other space stocks
SPCX is going to the moon today but look at the losers… it’s all the competition. Everything from RKLB to ASTS is going for a discount today and I feel like this could be a buying opportunity, once the rugpull happens on SPCX. It’s unlikely that tech at SPCX is …
While everyone is buying MAG7 dip, SNDK quietly crossed 2000…
It was already expensive when I bought in. I still remember a couple of fairly well-known “stock guru” shorting SNDK around $600–700 at the time. I chose to trust my quant instead. Holding it the whole way up has not been an easy ride, especially the big sell off cause …
Can we please ban new Adobe and Microsoft bull posts for at least a month?
Every day it's the same thread. "Adobe is a wonderful company." "Microsoft is a wonderful company." "The market is irrational." "The market just doesn't understand." "My discounted cash flow model says it's worth 73% more." We know. You've told us every day for the last six months. At some point …
Warning to adbe investors
I've seen far too many bullish posts about adbe. A low P/E ratio doesn't equal value! ​ A sub 10x forward P/E looks cheap for a company with high gross margins, but it's only cheap if the E (Earnings) doesn't shrink. In 5 years, as AI generation becomes entirely open-source, …
NOVO is a great play at this price
I wanted to share my thesis on Novo Nordisk (NVO) about why its a great investment at this price. I’m not a financial expert—just a long-term investor sharing my perspective. First of all, many people seems to be freaking out about the recent price cuts, but I actually think they …
Title: $MOS is at a 5-year low and everyone hates it. That's exactly why I'm buying.
$MOS is on the floor. Lowest level in about five years. Record sulfur costs, a lousy quarter, plants idled. Sounds like a nightmare, and that's exactly why I'm looking. I'd rather buy what everyone hates right now than what's already in every portfolio. The thing the market is ignoring: most …
SpaceX bonds must be normalized to distressed Junk (if we remove marketing fluff)
SpaceX balance sheet and FCF explain everything I need to understand where it is heading * Debt-to-EBIDTA 4.2 * negative interest coverage ratio * FCF to debt -48%. Awful * Retained earnings -40B!!! * FCF -20B. with B! If SpaceX were evaluated as a "regular" asset-heavy business like a traditional …