Posts
Cash flow valuation Microsoft
***TLDR:*** my fair value is around $383. Morningstar is $600. CFRA is around $550. **My dangerous assumptions:** * i looked at the past revenue growth (14+%) , the current estimates for future growth (14-18%) and i settled on 14% CAGR * i am taking a 10 year duration because despite …
Celebrus Technologies down 40% value play?
I don't usually touch stocks that are considered loss making, but I have made quite the exception for CLBS making it the third largest position I have ever held. ​ 97% customer retention rate Dividend Share buyback No debt $30m in the bank ​ Why am I this confident? The …
Looking at MTW as a solid value investing option
The Manitowoc Company, Inc. (NYSE: MTW) represents a strong value investment because it trades at a massive discount to its annual revenue despite holding a multi-year-high backlog and a growing, high-margin aftermarket services division. ​ Thesis ​ Value investors thrive on buying historically strong, cyclical industrial players when short-term macro …
Why Intel may be one of the strongest buys out there at $130
I’ve been looking at Intel lately, and despite the huge run, I’m wondering if it’s still a great buy around $130. It feels like they’re doing almost everything right right now. They’re making more money than ever, seem to be regaining confidence from enterprise customers, and investors appear to love …
Recommendations for opinion style post blogs
Hi all, Found myself reading a lot of opinion style blogs in my spare time but I'm almost up to date on all of them. Wondering if anyone has any recs? Would appreciate anything with an Australian focus since I live here. Blogs I've been reading: \- Reformed broker / …
(NTES, FINV, CALM, ESEA, FISV, FUN) Bringing some value picks and explaining my purchase reasons & Price Targets (PART 1)
Hi, I wanted to bring some new stocks upon the table. These won't be long writeups since I will covering 3 companies (part 1), and people don't like long texts. If people do ask for a longer write up for a particular one here, I am more than willing (like …
HRB: Is H&R Block Value or Trap?
Big picture: H&R Block has great financials and aggressively returns its capital to shareholders, but it’s a slow growth legacy business with declining margins. P/E \~6, earnings have been slowly growing slightly ahead of inflation. The tax man is not going anywhere. Some Bullets: \-Online Tax prep is growing revenue …
CPRT stock renaissance capital selling
Copart has a pretty good duopoly on the used car market, namely old ones that get into accidents. But they've experienced a pretty extreme drawdown, in what would have been a classic value investor, moat play. Does renaissance capital selling, as well as the advent of full self driving/assisted driving, …
My best investing decision this year was selling MSFT and buying MU.
My mental health improved drastically after clean all my positions I’m not Warren Buffet, just a Genz who personally hates MSFT, their Teams, Copilot, Outlook, I have to use their dogshit cooperate bullshit everyday I bought around 360 from march dip, sold 3/4 around $410-$430 , buying MU \~$750 , …
Are most stocks worldwide overvalued ?
Am considering dumping half my equity positions and moving into short term treasuries ( 2 to 5 years duration ). Main reason for this is I’m getting closer to retirement and am in more of a wealth preservation mode as I’ve done reasonably well in the market over last 20 …