Posts
Micron Stock: I Was Wrong in July, and I’m even more pessimistic about this stock and value creation
Coming from a phenomenal quarter, Micron has just had the greatest year in its history, and it has beaten the test I set in July. I still think the market is making the oldest mistake in the memory business: treating the top of a shortage as the new normal. Let …
FICO for Dummies
FICO is a very complicated business to understand. For value investors who are interested in participating in the recent price drop, this article will help you get up to speed with everything you need to know about the company, while stripping away most of the ultra-detailed fluff. I’ll also add …
VRRM - Verra Mobility Appoints Jon Newhard as Chief Executive Officer
Just spent 30 minutes looking into the guy's background - he ticks every box. VRRM's problem isn't getting customers, they need innovation to grow revenue. Jon Newhard has a great track record in the industry, and looking at the projects he led at his previous company, mostly it is transforming …
I updated my valuation dislocations for September
I started tracking these monthly in July because I wanted to compare opportunities instead of looking at every stock on its own. This is not a ranking of the best companies or the lowest P/E ratios. It is my own view of which ones have the best chance of outperforming …
NETFLIX - Value Buy?
The last value stock I discussed on this forum was Netskope at $7-7.5, 3 months ago, that's up 150% (around 17 now) I couldn't buy as I was locked up in my Meta trade, which I bought at 540 and sold for 770, in 3 months Now I'm feeling some …
Nothing beats buy and hold, not even close. i did all the testing possible !
I have tried to run all sort of strategies and indicators , ai , backtesting and walk forward, NOTHING beats the standard buy and hold in terms of returns, and i tried many markets too ! did anyone ever find a way to beat it and what strategies should i …
How do you tell good investment ideas from noise on Reddit, X, etc.?
I often see a lot of investing stuff on forums and X, and honestly some of it is really good. Proper write-ups, real numbers, people who actually lay out the bear case and own up when they got it wrong. But I still can't fully trust any of it. There's …
Investing for the long haul. ( $NKE)
Sir John Templeton held stocks for a minimum of four years. And he liked issues selling at their maximum pessimism, when the market had completely lost faith in a company or given up on an industry or market. Nike is going through a lots of challenges right now, at least …
NKE - Brand equity 41bn - Market Cap 50bn
I looked at the entire top 100 Kantar BrandZ list. Nike is sitting surprisingly low down at #69 with a brand equity of 41bn. This is down from 75bn in 2023. What's interesting is that Nike is the only company on that list (except for Chinese brand Haier) trading so …
Stocks that Im buying/bought this year
Msft: Bought around March during the 'Saaspocalypse' at $375 avg 19x per for 20\~30% growth rate Companies arent replacing Ms Office + the massive firings that were supposed to happen is not happening They have a massive cash pile + cash flow, havent issued any bonds or stocks SM Energy: …