Posts
Just a question about Kroger's multiple and future goals
I worked at Kroger when I was in high-school and it was one of the first stocks I purchased. I've never sold and now consider it a good defensive stock to moderate risk in my portfolio. It's a position I regularly contribute to. My questions are: 1. Why do Costco …
Thoughts of Meta’s latest AI effort?
Meta has been a cornerstone of this forum. I want to discuss the elephant in the room. Aside from already existing capex and current historic low valuation, does Meta’s new apps (prediction market, business agent) really make sense to you? Usually I’m able to valuate a company’s revenue stream pretty …
Bumble Deep Dive
$460M market cap company that did $284M cash flow last year, with only $300M net debt. That's a 1.5x cash flow multiple, compared to 8x for ADBE, 6.5x for LULU. The catch is their users have been dropping 5% every quarter... I did a full writeup here: [https://gregw134.substack.com/p/bumble-buyout-rumors](https://gregw134.substack.com/p/bumble-buyout-rumors)
Why the "cheap" memory/semiconductor stocks may not be cheap — a P/E analysis
**TL;DR:** Memory chips are in an AI-driven boom, and some of these stocks look "cheap" on *next year's* earnings (\~10× forward while AI peers sit at 40×). For a commodity cyclical, that forward-cheap is often a late-cycle *warning*, not a bargain... Here's a more detailed POV: A lot of us …
Why are we still focused on Value when it's been a losing trade for almost two decades
Value has struggled for quite some time now. I'm curious as to why people still cling to it? The AI trade, for example, has left value in the dust. And this is really just a continuation of a trend that has been going since the recovery of the 08' crisis …
$INR has 80% upside and currently has a 83% short float
Infinity Natural Resources is an independent oil and gas producer focused on the Appalachian Basin, mainly the Utica Shale in eastern Ohio and Marcellus/Utica dry gas assets in southwest Pennsylvania. They just completed an acquisition of Antero to fill out their upstream and midstream assets, and their overall production is …
Does End of Quarter Window Dressing present buy opportunities - WETOUCH TECHNOLOGY, FXI, other Chinese names
Will we see a repeat of the previous end of March lows, with a bounce beginning in the new quarter? June has hammered these stocks. Many rightfully so. But is sentiment so incredibly horrible that an opportunity exists? Or, is China entering some type of depression? No doubt, things can …
NVIDIA is still extremely dominant, but is the market getting a bit too optimistic?
After seeing Micron’s results come in better than expected, I went back and took a deeper look at NVIDIA. Honestly, what the company is still pulling off is pretty impressive. In Q1 FY2027, they reported $81.6 billion in revenue, with $75.2 billion coming from Data Center alone (+92% year-over-year). Data …
Micron Technology, MU is overvalued
MU went up so much this year and last year. That was because DRAM and SSD prices went up massively from AI demand combined with restricted supply. However in the latest earnings report, Micron have said that their largest contracts now have a ceiling price set at the 2026Q2 market …
FDJ UNITED, Value play or Value trap ?
I'm about to invest around 10% of my portefolio into FDJ United, I believe in a recovery from last french tax increase thanks to sector growth and recent acquisition (Kindred). Meanwhile recovery, a sustainable dividend of \~ 9% with current stock price will be cashed out every year. More details …