Posts
If we're in a bubble, why are ORCL, Meta and MSFT getting punished?
On one side, it looks like we're in an **expensive market**. Just look at the **Shiller PE** and the **regular PE** relative to their historical averages. You can also see we're near the top of the credit cycle, with **credit spreads about as tight as they've been**. People look really …
Oracle capex
Oracle has been interesting business recently. They are spending $56bn on capital to build datacenters. They are trying to be a hyperscaler but they don't have luxury of cash flows like other hyperscalers to bear this huge capex, so they are spending it with taking huge debt and more capex …
Posting portfolios
Hi I was thinking of posting my portfolio but I was wondering if ppl could maybe help me with it. However I'm thinking some ppl could use this data in a harmfull manner. Let me know if I should post it or not.
Xerox - value trap or not?
Xerox is at a crossroads, and the results at the end of July will show which direction it will take.The current value of equity is under 400 million USD, even though sales exceed 7 billion USD. The problem is the huge debt, currently exceeding seven times Ebitda, which the company …
I’m a value investor, and bottom‑up research is how I find opportunities in any market. This is the shortlist of companies that stood out in my initial screening. Next step: digging into the fundamentals to see which ones actually deserve long‑term attention.
|Ticker|QScore|Rank|Tier|P/E TTM|Share Price|Fair Price (Earn.)|Price/ Fair (Earn.)| |:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-| |ADBE|870.62|7|Gold|12.49|227.25|327.42|0.69| |EVR|842.16|13|Gold|17.25|334.56|349.02|0.96| |LOPE|840.42|14|Gold|18.37|152.44|149.4|1.02| |REGN|816|20|Gold|15.74|663.4|758.88|0.87| |ZTS|812.67|21|Gold|11.95|75.3|113.4|0.66| |CPRT|807.01|24|Gold|17.16|27.64|28.98|0.95| |RMD|805.71|25|Gold|19.06|199.73|188.64|1.06| |FDS|803.48|26|Gold|16.37|256|281.52|0.91| |FHI|788.84|31|Silver|11.31|59.62|79.05|0.75| |DECK|785.94|36|Silver|14.96|109.83|110.1|1| |KNSL|768.94|45|Silver|15.05|345.77|344.7|1| |ESNT|765.05|47|Silver|8.68|65.03|112.35|0.58| |PYPL|759.23|49|Silver|8.14|46.72|86.1|0.54| |LULU|755.58|51|Silver|9.43|121.14|192.75|0.63| |ACGL|749.07|56|Silver|7.36|102.66|209.1|0.49|
Is CRM a value trap, or a buy
Everyone keeps asking why **Salesforce keeps dropping**. Almost nobody asks **why it was so high to begin with**. On paper it looks cheap: strong revenue growth, a PE below its historical average, the classic "**great company at a good price**." But that's exactly what a value trap looks like. **Salesforce …
Adobe is down 40% from its highs while generating $8.25B in true annual FCF with 10% topline growth. I think it died of a theory, not an actual threat. Here's the data including deferred revenue, government contract data from USASpending.gov, and a bear case.
I own ADBE at about 14% of my portfolio, so I have skin in the game and a reason to be honest about where the bear case has merit. The Confederate government supposedly died of a theory. Jefferson Davis was so committed to states' rights he couldn't build the centralized …
Hey! I'm turning 18 and I want feedback if this is a good idea.
The AI industry is booming fast in Wall Street and as such, I want a piece of cake too. I am looking into Nvida as my first but admittedly I am somewhat nervous considering it went down May and only recently actually got back up. Any recommendations for better investments?
Up Fintech Holdings (Nasdaq: TIGR), a Value " crap."
US Tiger Brokers is $TIGR affiliated US underwriter specialized in issuing and promoting pennies pump and dump stocks. That lone factor bankrupts any potential thesis purporting to the company’s undervaluation. I have highlighted the live case of Julong Holdings $JLHL as a live case study to support my thesis. Up …
Is Oracle undervalued at $140? My DCF says yes, but the balance sheet is the real risk
A few months back I posted [Oracle](https://www.reddit.com/r/ValueInvesting/comments/1s9513t/oracles_60_crash_cheap_value_play_or_leveraged_ai/) analysis here and was cautious. It is around $141 now, roughly at the same price, but it got there the hard way. It ran up to roughly $200 after a record June quarter, then gave all of it back. A lot of the …