Posts
Long on AXP - good time to buy while its dipping after Q2 results
Looks like a great time to buy AXP to me - big dip after Q2 results but looking past the headlines, the core long-term investment thesis remains intact. I went through the Q2 results Strong Revenue & EPS Beat: Net profit rose 8% to $3.11B ($4.53 EPS vs. $4.40–$4.45 estimates), …
My 6 months play for BOX
TLDR: The stock is not massively undervalued, still undervalued, but I still think it can grow. I believe that the market may be valuing Box mainly as a mature cloud storage business while several operating indicators increasingly resemble a profitable enterprise software platform and its relevancy in the future. Thus, …
"Being paid for patience" — the framework I use to tell time arbitrage from value traps
A comment I made here yesterday about Google being a "paid for patience" setup got a bunch of replies asking the same question: how do you tell the difference between a stock that pays you for patience and a value trap that just feels like one? Both look identical on …
Charter communications dumping
Guys any idea why chtr is dumping so bad after earnings? The earnings look in line and they did some share buybacks too. I hold a few hundred shares at 130 cost basis so kinda pissed The revenue is declining but nothing crazy
Is anyone spending time to Research companies, or Just Investing on Reddit tips?
I'm really interested to know what everyone is doing to research stocks, and how you are figuring out to invest in a company? Here is my process: I'm spending a lot of time usually weekly, potentially looking at some stock discussions in reddit communities, then go over their Financials, and …
Best on my portfolio to diversify, where to park rest of 28k USD? Re-did my portfolio and will re-visit in 6 months.
|Stock|Portfolio %|Opinion on the companies| |:-|:-|:-| |ENB.TO|12%|A solid blue chip company I've been holding for the past 5 years, it will be there for the next 20 years in my portfolio.| |GOOG|12%|I use their products daily and I think they have better growth in comparison to other G7.| |NBIS|9%|Essentially tied …
Backtested 8-K "special situation" filings against real outcomes — early-stage signals actually beat confirmed deals
I built a tool that scans SEC EDGAR daily for 8-Ks signaling special situations, and backtested it against \~1,900 historical filings to see what actually happens after each type of signal — using each company's own subsequent SEC filings (Item 2.01 for completed acquisitions, Item 1.03 for bankruptcy, Form 15 …
Deckers Brands
Interested to hear other holders / non holders of Deckers Brands thoughts are on the recent quarter. Personally I think they did a great job. Beat on almost all metrics. Guidance was a bit weak and the pre earnings sell off and post earnings drop seems an over reaction to …
I won’t buy the “dip” anymore
I learned a lot over the last 2 years. A lot of times these companies collapse because they’re diluting, overvalued, and taking on debt while they have other companies taking their market share. Most of spy is overvalued and a mess. With that being said, I still own stocks, but …
Moody’s rated over $2 trillion of debt in Q2 and the management didn’t raise revenue guidance
Moody’s had an exceptional quarter. Rated issuance exceeded $2T for the second consecutive quarter, MIS transaction revenue grew 34%, and total MIS revenue grew 25%. However, management did not raise the full-year MIS revenue outlook, which remains at high-single-digit growth and that surprised me. So I looked into the disclosures …