Posts
NVDA and the demand cliff
Incredible earnings, great guidance, expansion into the CPU side of ai to continue capturing a large chunk of the ai chip market. So what is the problem? Well, it’s two things. Inventory levels are way up. Like waaay up. This is partly due to the value of things being stored …
What to buy during a market correction or crash?
Is there a strategy for buying during a market correction or crash? For context, I had a bunch of cash during the Iran war correction. I just bought more of some of my existing positions (GOOG, AMZN, etc.) during that time. I allocated more based on what dropped a lot. …
How do you track what would prove your stock thesis wrong?
I’ve been trying to get better at reviewing my stock decisions. One habit that has helped is writing down the “invalidating condition” before the outcome happens. Not just “why I like this stock,” but: * what would prove this thesis wrong? * what risk am I probably underestimating? * what …
People who bought stocks early when they were still risky, unpopular, or getting hated on, what made you buy?
I’m talking about stocks before the hype, before everyone started calling them “obvious winners.” Like when the company still had real risks, bad sentiment, weak price action, or people were saying it was overvalued/dead money. How did you know it was worth buying back then? Was it actually conviction from …
Portfolio sell off.
I recently did a sell off in my IRA portfolio. I sold out of $MU. I got in at a pretty good price around $133. I also sold out of $VTI. I also had a good buy in around $120-$130. I closed these positions and decided to add to my …
Reddit stock drops 6% after Meta announces a Facebook Groups app
Earlier today, META announced Forum, a standalone app for Facebook Groups. The Forum app is still being being tested (on Apple iOS). Facebook released an app for Facebook Groups in 2016 but discontinued it in 2017. Some analysts report that the Forum app will be a competitive threat to reddit, …
MRLN - The Future of Aviation Autonomy
I have enjoyed putting down my thoughts from time to time on reddit as it 1) helps me double check my own conviction in a newer position and 2) allows me to share an idea with a bunch of regards usually at a price that’s lower from when I bought …
Is anybody else dumping the Nasdaq 100 due to SpaceX?
I juast read that Elon is basically folding the financial disasters of X and Tesla into SpaceX prior to the SpaceX IPO, and that SpaceX has basically been fast-tracked into the Nasdaq 100 index, so that regardless of how shitty the fundamentals of the stock are, the price will be …
Are you going long or short on all these new IPOs?
I can't be the only one excited to buy puts on all these new IPOs So many over-hyped and unprofitable but "mature" companies coming to market. I'd take short positions on all of these but at different time frames: \-SpaceX: near-term to mid-term short \-OpenAI: near-term short \-Oura: long-term short …
Which brokerage would you recommend when looking for competitive margin rates?
Hi all, thanks in advance for your insight. I'm wanting to know which brokerage firms you'd recommended for competitive margin rates. Ideally, I'd like very low margin rates with a reasonable customer experience. I previously used Robinhood (many years ago) and while their margin rates are very competitive (between 4-5% …