Posts
Thoughts on oil stocks?
North American based oil companies (OXY, EXXON, SHELL, CHEVRON, and XLE ETF) are lower right now than they were a month ago. The US is now blocking oil from Hormuz and sending them to the US ports, which should, over time, come at a higher and higher premium and result …
The S&P 500 has hit a new high, is the market back?
The S&P 500 has reached a new all-time high with 11 consecutive days of gains, and the market is pricing in that the war is basically over. Trump said the probability of reaching an agreement is very high, but the reality is that neither the negotiation location nor the timeline …
Ran a Quality + GARP screen this week… results were not what I expected
The last couple weeks have been straight-up exhausting. iran stuff shuts the Strait, Dow suddenly rips 1300 points off one ceasefire tweet, tariff headlines every five minutes and FinTwit is split between “buy everything right now” and “cash is king bro”. I got sick of doom-scrolling and reacting to every …
I was wrong, ORCL on the move again, 4 days straight of massive gains!
What is going on? I've never seen ORCL have consecutive gains in the past 1 year. The last time was a very sharp and rapid jump to 345 in Sept/Oct of 2025. I think it will reach 200 this week as AI momentum is building. The BLOOM energy partnership is …
S&P 500 is making new ATHs, but volume is noticeably lower compared to the Jan 29 selloff.
The S&P 500 is pushing to new all-time highs, but daily volume (looking at SPY as a proxy) appears notably lower compared to the Jan 29 selloff. During that decline, volume expanded significantly, suggesting broad participation and urgency on the downside. In contrast, the current move higher looks more like …
Why is the market reacting so positive to an indefinite US blockade?
Markets reacted very severely when the Iranians effectively closed Hormuz in the middle of march, suggesting high oil prices are very negative for stocks. Yet after the US implemented what appears to be an indefinite blockade, oil prices seem to have stabilized and stocks have taken off to new highs. …
When a country's fertility rate drops from 2.1 to 1.9 something happens in the following 16 years.
Japan crossed 1.9 in 1974. Nikkei went 10x by 1990. World's second largest economy. South Korea crossed in 1983. KOSPI 10x by 1999. Miracle on the Han River. Taiwan crossed in 1981. TWSE 20x by 1997. Global tech hub. China post-1978 reforms, accelerated 1992. Economy 10x by 2008. Fastest growth …
r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Options Trading Thursday - Apr 16, 2026
This is the daily discussion, so anything stocks related is fine, but the theme for today is on stock options, but if options aren't your thing then just ignore the theme. Some helpful day to day links, including news: * [Finviz](https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=spy) for charts, fundamentals, and aggregated news on individual stocks …
Where would we be without the war?
Seen lots of posts discussing the rebound and how we’ve shrugged off war woes in the indices. I want to briefly offer the perspective that the current price level may impound war effects. We’ve had several macro readings over the last month that have been relatively positive. For example, PPI …
From sneakers to AI… what is Allbirds actually doing here?
Allbirds pivoting to AI after selling its brand and footwear assets… that’s a pretty wild move!! Like… from sneakers to AI infrastructure? GPUs? I get that AI is where all the money is flowing right now, but it honestly feels like every company suddenly finds an “AI angle” the moment …