Posts
Rate question
Is it possible we get a paradoxical reaction to rate cut/hike? They probably won’t actually move on the rates side and will let long duration assets run off the balance sheet to get other voters to cut but if Warsh actually cuts rates, wouldn’t the long end rise with inflation …
TOST my personal recommendation
TOST at $23, seriously undervalued imo been looking at this one for a while. company is killing it financially but stock got destroyed with the rest of tech the numbers are wild honestly - revenue up 22%, profit went from 19M to 342M in a year, basically no debt. 70% …
What Happens When Companies Stop Being Profitable? Do Shareholders Just Jump Ship?
Public companies are always chasing profits, we know this. It's not always possible to be profitable, however. So when there profits dry up, is it an automatic death sentence? Or how does it work? What brought this to my mind is seeing how many retailers and grocery stores have disappeared …
consolidating big winners for an unproved Winner?
So I have meager (share quantity) positions in RKLB and ASTS, however since my entry price was so low I have bagged 5 figures in profit on each. As I get older I’m trying to consolidate more of my portfolio into ETFS as opposed to the single stock play when …
anyone looking at nvda's supply guidance or just the revenue?
wanted to share quick read i've been circling since the nvda print. literally every thread this week went straight to the revenue beat and the immediate stock move, which makes sense but the part that keeps nagging me is the actual supply chain language in the call. im not even …
Why $AMD will easily surpass $1T and could come knocking at $NVDA door.
If you ever built a computer from scratch, you would know that AMD CPU chips have been king over Intel for more than a decade now. The reason is that AMD is a master in chiplet based design - the ability to have multiple chips or cores working in unison …
Bought 284 shares of NVDA at 224, what to do now? Opportunity cost?
I bought 284 shares of Nvidia, sitting at \~80% of my portfolio in anticipation for their earnings on Wednesday, and am currently down \~2500. I've been doing lots of research and it seems Nvidia pretty much always dips after earnings and then recuperates tenfold, but from what I'm seeing, stocks …
5 Nasdaq stocks I think the market is sleeping on. What am I missing?
Been doing some digging lately, looking for names that aren’t riding the AI hype wave but still have solid fundamentals. NOT: NFA Here’s what caught my eye: **1. Micron (MU)** Right in the middle of the HBM memory demand story powering AI servers. Yet it’s trading at a forward P/E …
73% returns on capital. Record buybacks. BKNG looks undervalued at $160.
TL;DR: Booking Holdings ($BKNG) owns the digital highway connecting travelers to hotels, flights, and rentals. 97% gross margins, 73% ROIC, $7.8B owner earnings. The stock trades at 16x earnings because Wall Street is pricing in AI disruption and Middle East travel headwinds. I think the market is overreacting to temporary …
The Capex Unwind Thesis 2027 - 2028
Hello folks. What do railroads in the 1880s, telecom fiber in 2000, and AI infrastructure in 2026 have in common? Each was a capex cycle where the shovel-makers got rich first and lost the most once the cycle finished. I believe this may happen in 2027-2028 and will be doing …