Posts
Before a macro event, I trust positioning more than the first candle
One thing I’ve learned the hard way is that the first move after a macro event is often less informative than people think. Not because the event doesn’t matter. Because the reaction gets distorted by how the market was leaning into it. What I want to know before the event: …
Options data- EOD statistics
Hi. I'm looking for options data- EOD stats like greeks, IV, GEX, put/call ratio for: CME futures- \~30 symbols Eurex futures- \~20 symbols US equities- \~1000 symbols FX pairs- \~30 symbols Max historical range. Has anyone done something similar and could estimate the costs of one time download? I know …
QQQ premarket analysis
**QQQ pre-market $585.60 — positive GEX, pinned range, lean bullish** Net GEX $2.56M positive. Kings are sitting at $580 and $595, roughly equal strength which means we're pinned right now — that's exactly where $585 is. Range-bound until one of these breaks. Call wall $600, put wall $580. GEX flip …
spy premarket analysis
**Pre-market SPY $656.20 — bearish setup, negative GEX regime** GEX flip is right at $660 with a massive call wall there ($42.17M). That's been the ceiling all week and pre-market is already below it. Net GEX shows that purple strip at $660 — that's the battleground. Below current price the …
Nobody is playing with TRIP Tripadvisor despite Starboard coming in...
I feel very lonely buing call options of TRIP. No volume, nothing happening. Did I made a mistake last week? I see the stock moving today in Premarket. I am beginners in options trading, I prefer actions. 10.850.00(0.00%) At close: April 6 at 4:00:00 PM EDT 11.34+0.49(+4.53%) Pre-Market: 5:12:43 AM …
NVDA institutional moves (April 6,2026)
I'm analyzing yesterday's (4/6/2026) institutional moves on NVDA and trying to understand "hidden knowledge." Some make a clear interpretation, but some are much less clear. \- April 8 calls ( 2 days away) are clearly near-term bullish bets. \- May 22 puts are post-earning downturn protection \- June 18 , …
Projecting future returns of a backtested strategy using probability
https://preview.redd.it/qjd3lh3tkptg1.png?width=1637&format=png&auto=webp&s=469419e6750840200c634c26c3e10f6443a37140 https://preview.redd.it/3dk37kiukptg1.png?width=1637&format=png&auto=webp&s=834ae1b2e3d05a514ed4371b993c0bee70b8d273 I created a dashboard for analyzing my backtested 0DTE SPX trading [strategy](https://www.quantglide.com/). Here's how I modeled performance projections from backtest to live, and and used them to help assess the validity of realized out of sample returns: * Map out realized returns with the blue lines with data …
Options positioning going into the heaviest catalyst week of the Hormuz crisis
This week has an unusual convergence of geopolitical and macro catalysts sitting on top of already-extreme sentiment conditions: — Trump threatened to destroy Iranian power plants and bridges by Tuesday. WSJ reports the US military is preparing strikes on energy targets. — March CPI prints Wednesday — the first data …
QQQ after hr analysis
**Spot $588.50, after-hours $584.84.** Positive GEX regime, pinned between kings at $580 and $590. Net GEX $21M — dealers are supporting this thing hard. Call wall at $600, put wall at $580 and $587. Kings roughly equal so we're range-bound but the lean is bullish. After hours drop to $584 …
Trading 0DTE SPX Options Going Into the Close - I'll take Long Gamma Every Time
0DTE options are a great way to make - or - lose - $ in a hurry. Traders that don't respect gamma will get burned, and today’s SPX close was a perfect lesson. Conventional wisdom holds that \~80% of options expire worthless, and there are structural reasons for this to …