Posts
Luck, Skill and You: A Comprehensive Guide
I'll be brief but I feel that someone may need to understand how the markets tend to work and what exactly constitutes luck and skill. The line is often said to be thin but I find it to be terribly thick and tragically obvious who is getting lucky and who …
What happened Tues 4/22/2025 a half hour before the bell?
I was looking at a chart of the SP500 and last Tuesday, 4/22, the index was a bit up and down until about 30 min before the end of the trading day when it shot up dramatically. * Does anyone know what news hit the media, or what the impetus …
I'm lost at what to do with this economy
I've saved up around $250K, I bought my house in 08' and it's completely paid off. I'm just really hesitant whether to buy another rental property that gone give me a steady passive income, or buy the dip in some trusted stocks. It just seems like the market isn't safe …
Wash sale? I plan to sell shares today and not sure if this will matter?
I am selling a portion of my shares in FXIAX today. I invest monthly regardless, so if I sell shares today and auto buy some shares on the 1st, would that be a wash sale? I’m freeing up cash I will need else where but still intend to monthly auto …
Is there 3rd party website/software that can monitor my accounts & send me alerts if my % asset allocation deviates from my specified criteria?
I have several accounts with Fidelity, and they do not have a way to send automatic alerts for drifting asset allocation. Even if I paid for Fidelity's Robo investing, it does not have a feature for these kind of alerts. For a simple example, let's say I have only 2 …
CNBC has become so negative
CNBC has been hard to watch some days even when then market is rallying so many of these analysts are so bearish . Anyone who comes on with some positive insight they just shoot them down with negativity . I wish we had more choices for investing news .
Dallas Fed Manufacturing survey for April 2025 - worst since 2020.
New orders down 20%. Growth of orders -22%. Prices paid for raw materials up 48%. Company outlook -28.3. General Business Activity -35.8. Hours worked -6.4. Markets seem to be doing a Wile E. Coyote suspended above the abyss... how long can Mr. Market Coyote hang up there? https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tmos/2025/2504#tab-results
Is There an Investment Formula for This (see post for example)?
Here's the hypothetical. It's 2015. I invest $1,000 in a stock. In 2025, the investment has gone up to about $1,350. Hurrah! I've made profit. Except, no, I haven't. First of all, due to inflation, that $1,350 (in 2025) has the same buying power that $1,000 had back in 2015. …
AVOID MOOMOO FINANCIAL (suspect policy/procedure)
Avoid Moomoo financial. Their policy and procedures costed me thousands of dollars and several hours. Will keep it short, feel free to reach out for more details. I wired funds. Funds cleared. I bought securities. Trade confirmation email. Few days later when I tried to log in, I got an …
Demographics - why so little attention?
I have been wondering. From academics to professionals, so many are forecasting the imminent end of the American empire, and the rise of the Chinese era. How come only ONE geopolitical expert (Peter Zeihan) stresses the inevitable sentence awaiting China, given its irreversible and dramatic demographic implosion? it seems to …