Posts
Is AI the next electricity… or a $700B corporate gamble?
Something feels off. Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Microsoft are about to spend nearly $700B on AI infrastructure. But: * Free cash flow is collapsing. * Debt is rising. * Stocks are underperforming. Amazon’s FCF down 71%. Alphabet raising $25B in debt. Massive capex across the board. And at the same …
The Brutal Truth About Investment Success
The Real Reason Most Investors Struggle (An Unfiltered Perspective) Over time, I've observed a trend: many individuals claim to desire long-term investments, yet their actions often contradict this assertion. When the first wave of red hits, the game plan gets flipped. A fresh trend emerges, and the whole landscape transforms …
Am I overthinking how to track my portfolio or do charts actually matter?
I've been tracking my portfolio in a basic Excel spreadsheet for like 3 years. Just simple line graphs showing performance over time, maybe a pie chart for allocation. Works fine but honestly looks pretty boring. Started wondering if I should be doing something more visual to actually spot trends or …
What geographical indices are you holding?
I dumped my S&P 500 a while back and more recently dumped my All World investment, as America is too exhausting for me to invest in at the moment as a whole. Since then, I've had a spread of EU, UK, Japan, and a little Asia Pacific. But I'm not …
CME launching NdPr futures is the final boss of rare earth volatility
So CME is finally working on a rare earth futures contract for Neodymium and Praseodymium. NdPr prices have been soaring and are already 40% higher this year, so the timing is kind of crazy. I'm sure it's the right thing for banks to get a tool for hedging these projects …
Nvidia (NVDA) Riding Big Tech's $650B+ AI CapEx Wave in 2026 – After Pullback from Highs… Buy-the-Dip or Bubble Burst?
Nvidia continues to be the clear winner from the AI infrastructure boom Big Tech (Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft) is guiding **\~$650-700B combined CapEx** for 2026 (up sharply from 2025), with a massive chunk going to GPUs, data centers, and AI compute. Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang called it "the largest infrastructure …
US debt forecast to hit $64T in a decade as Trump policies widen deficit
According to the Congressional Budget Office, the U.S. national debt is projected to reach $64 trillion within the next decade, with annual deficits rising to $3.1 trillion by 2036. With debt already exceeding $38 trillion and continuing to grow rapidly, this trajectory raises serious long-term fiscal concerns. Source: https://www.politico.com/news/2026/02/11/us-debt-forecast-to-hit-64t-in-a-decade-as-trump-policies-widen-deficit-00775726 Question: …
HNW (accredited/QC/QP) Investor Groups for discussion of Alternative Investments
I tried posting a version of this on another subreddit and was met with universally negative reactions. Basically, as a HNWI, given current public market valuations, I have been diversifying my portfolio away from pure ETFs of public stocks (which still constitute a majority of my holdings). Longer term, Private …
Are oil companies a bubble?
I've been keeping some XLE in my portfolio, and was startled to see how well it's performing. I decided therefore to look which oil companies are in the ETF, and have a look at their stock prices. I was startled by the rapid growth rate of these, and was wondering …
Investing in QQQ(M) in 2026?
It seems like tech is currently extremely saturating the S&P, but is it still worth separately investing in QQQ? (Even if I have 80% of my portfolio in the S&P?) I also am a little worried that this year tech may not do that well or even beat the market …