Posts
What Black Swan risk actually means in plain English
The term Black Swan gets used a lot in markets, but it often sounds more complicated than it needs to be. In simple terms, a Black Swan is an event that is rare, hard to predict and has a big impact. It is something most people are not positioned for, …
What are you planning for the possible Downturn
When do you think is gonna be the new crisis? Its time to buy gold and silver yet? In what you invested to prevent loses? and what do you plan to buy in recession to benefit from this downturn? so recently i gained some money and decided that im gonna …
Is it time to short gold, buy GLL(ProShares UltraShort Gold)?
First off idk if this is right because I haven't done a highly technical analysis of gold, but it appears that there is a discrepancy between dollar cost and gold. Typically one or the other is used as a reserve currency, and right now gold seems to be the reserve …
Tales from the tea leaves
I have spent the past couple of months debunking posts on bubbles. I said that all the data showed the exact opposite, a healthy bull market. I also said I would write if I saw something different in the data. There are a few developments which should garner our attention. …
Most Risk On Market Since 2021
Despite all the doomers in this sub, it's not all representative of the general sentiment out there. Risk-on is at the highest level in years. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-27/goldman-says-market-most-risk-on-since-2021-on-global-growth Important to not take too much weight from here (or any other single source of perspectives)
How is the Silver price so different in Shanghai ~$130 vs Comex ~$110
This has been happening for awhile since I’ve been watching (not that long just since Dec) and the spread has been getting wider as I check it. I remember something similar happening many years ago from the S Korea or Japan price of BTC vs the US BTC price. How …
The Block (SQ) stock risk assessment :
I’ve been working on a tool to automate risk analysis specifically to catch red flags that often get buried in 10-Ks and other news. I usually run it on companies I’m eyeing to see if I missed any structural risks. I recently ran it on Block (SQ) given the recent …
I invested in gld and prices went crazy. Do you think it’s about to crash?
I was lucky enough to guess right and I bought 10.5 gld price was at 370 average this was in November 25. I’m at over $1100 gain in 2 1/2 months almost a 30% increase. I’m holding long term for the next 30 years regardless of what happens in my …
Is the US stock market at risk?
In times of turbulence, it often happens that a country will close the stock market. USA is in a phase of instability and unreliability in the country's leadership and social climate. After watching what is happening, I have had the eerie thought that their is a heightend risk that USA …
Why the divergence between PSLV and silver spot price?
Since PSLV is 100% backed by physical silver, why are PSLV gains not following spot price gains? Silver spot was way up today, but PSLV was down \~ 2%. Year to date, spot price is up 56% and PSLV is only up 41%. Is this just due to volatility and …