Posts
How can you hedge currency risk?
My friend is going to be living in Mexico for the foreseeable future. The majority of his portfolio is a globally diversified portfolio held in the US. The vast majority of the holdings are USD denominated. While these have performed well in USD terms, it has been relatively painful in …
Wow! Earnings drop sends Microsoft into a slide. Market overreacting?
$MSFT is dragging down markets after earnings, yet fundamentals look strong. Revenue growth, cloud dominance, and massive cash reserves are still there. It’s still a $3 trillion company. Are investors overreacting, or is this a real red flag? Thoughts? Source: Blossom Social
Does flexibility meaningfully improve long-term portfolio outcomes, or is full investment still optimal.?
In long-term portfolio construction, being fully invested is often presented as the optimal default, supported by historical return data and opportunity cost arguments. Over extended periods, idle capital tends to reduce nominal returns relative to a fully invested benchmark. At the same time, some investors intentionally preserve flexibility through modest …
90% downside for Palantir (PLTR)?
I put the company through my valuation model: [PLTR Valuation Model](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1opghlb7zNhnUMlCI0mJXyXRw_BHLgoiOm2pq3N8c0Qs/edit?usp=sharing) The Enterprise Value is 235x projected operating income. I've posted before how the company wildly underinvests in cap ex and r&d compared to comparable software companies as well as Mag 7. Without any skunk works projects, there won't be …
See underlying company dividends in ETF
See underlying company dividends in ETF I firmly believe in the Bogle way, however, I like learning about the underlying companies that I hold. It's much more interesting to think about how I theoretically have a clam on XY company and look up their financials, than just see a number …
What is the likelihood of a currency "reset."?
My algorithm has been taking me for a ride lately. Whenever I open my phone I see videos about a potential currency reset and the inevitable failure of the USD. The main driver behind this is the insane surge in gold demand. I have a few work colleagues that are …
Gold and Silver Being Dumped
What is happening with Gold and Silver, both are suddenly down over 5% * Gold briefly went to a low of $5,128 ([USDXAU](https://in.tradingview.com/symbols/XAUUSD/)) * Silver breifly went to a lowest point of $107.2 ([USDXAG](https://in.tradingview.com/symbols/XAGUSD/)) I've been seeing lot of Influencers stating that both Gold and Silver were supposed to fall, …
Opinions on international vs. US markets?
Since international markets just had such a good run and the S&P did extremely well too, where is everyone standing in their portfolio on US markets to international? Also, do you think international markets still have space to ride? I also feel that the US market is heavily overweighted in …
How to calculate options into your portfolio return?
So my portfolio consist of a couple of stocks I hold for the long term with my annualized return showed in green. Now when I would like to get into options selling cash secured puts, how do you calculate the premium into your portfolio tracker? Because mine does only allow …
What assets would be a safe transition if the dollar is devalued and metals hit a blow of top?
What assets would be a safe transition if the dollar is devalued and metals hit a blow of top? Would treasuries and bonds still be recommended. Oil would likely go down in this scenario right? I'm looking to reposition my portfolio with concerns that the dollar risks being devalued. The …