Posts
My thesis for Nvidia, and why I believe it is worth $250-$380
The hype surrounding the "soon-to-be" popping of the AI bubble has resulted in a buying opportunity of a wonderful company at a wonderful price. Concerns of the AI bubble being "worse than the dotcomm bubble" is overstated. Yes, i hate AI as much as you do, but lets not let …
Markets often rise during wars - the data is more surprising than people expect
Whenever a new geopolitical conflict starts, the first assumption many investors make is that stocks will crash. But if you look at history, markets often react differently. Since World War II, the S and P 500 has usually fallen briefly after the start of a major conflict, then recovered fairly …
Why don't more people talk about and invest in indexes built by academics and economists with decades of data behind them ?
I've been researching index investing and kept coming across a category that doesn't get much attention in retail communities: academically-designed indexes with actual investable instruments. Some clarification upfront. Not all academic indexes are investable. Raw Fama-French research portfolios, for example, are purely theoretical constructs. But many have crossed over into …
VXUS completely disconnected from international market performance overnight. What am I missing?
I've started following VXUS closely but overnight last night I witnessed something that makes little or no sense whatsoever. Overnight, most Asian markets were up, especially the Nikkei (+1.9%) which is largely represented in VXUS. The Korean Kospi was also up substantially (+9.6%) after its prior day collapse. All other …
22 months of DCA: From €26 IPO to €16.69 - Yesterday I bought at the bottom of a market crash
Started buying PUIG at €26.06 back in May 2024. Been averaging down consistently for almost 2 years now. Yesterday (March 3) during the IBEX crash, I added 350 shares at prices ranging from €14.76-€15.16 - literally €0.06 from the absolute bottom at €14.70. Today it rallied +3%. **Current position:** - …
U.S. Equities are trading at stretched valuations.
The 12- month forward P/E for S&P 500 stands at 21.8 x, higher than 90% pf observations over the past 20 years. Evan excluding Big tech, valuations elevated at 19.2 x, well above the long term median. In comparison, markets such as STOXX Europe 600 trade around 15.6x , Nikkei …
How one options strategy allegedly made $73M in a day by moving the underlying market
A lot of people are talking about the 10 AM dump that seems to keep happening referred to as the "10 AM dump". Some people are using this as a timed short strategy. There are rumors accusing the quant trading firm Jane Street of using a strategy to crash the …
The $599 iPhone 17e made me rethink $AAPL’s near term outlook
Apple’s recent launch of the $599 iPhone 17e caught my attention from an investing perspective. The device combines A19 chip performance, 256GB storage, and a 48MP camera at a lower price point, which could drive upgrades among users holding older iPhones. In a market where consumer spending is under pressure, …
Does checking your portfolio too often actually hurt your decisions?
I used to check my portfolio multiple times a day. Not because I was trading, but because the data was there. Real-time prices. Percentage moves. News updates. It felt responsible to stay informed. Over time I realized something uncomfortable. The more often I checked, the more I felt pressure to …
China Tells Top Refiners to Suspend Diesel and Gasoline Exports
China’s government has told the country’s largest oil refiners to suspend exports of diesel and gasoline as an escalating conflict in the Persian Gulf disrupts the arrival of crude from one of the world’s largest producing regions. Officials from the National Development and Reform Commission, the country’s top economic planner, …