Posts
If You Wanted Federal Energy Deals… This Is Exactly The Team You’d Build
If you step back and think about what it actually takes to win federal or defense-related energy contracts, it becomes clear pretty quickly that it’s not just about having a product. You need the right positioning. These types of projects sit at the intersection of energy infrastructure, security, logistics, and …
Just in: Trump says Fed chair must cut rates immediately
I'm watching Trump live from Whitehouse presser with Japanese delegation and he's criticizing current Fed chair and asking him to "lower rates immediately" calling him "incompetent and stubborn". I assume Trump would get rates lowered once his favorite Fed guy takes over. What he has said to shows he doesn't …
United Health and CVS Wash Rules
Quick question: Does anyone know if selling United Health at a loss and buying CVS would trigger a Wash? \*\*\* Unnecessary details because of post length rules: I own a bunch of UNH shares, and it's only slightly down, but CVS is a more interesting profile and pays a higher …
I am so sick and tired of how stocks drop after blowout earnings announcements.
I'm holding GOOGL, LLY, META, MU, MSFT and NVDA. Revenue growth and operating margin are great. Projected revenue growth is great. Valuation is cheap in my model. I'm up about 13% YTD and 46% last year. But its always the same pattern--the stock rises up to the earnings release then …
Qué comprar para la recesión que se viene, Walmart o Costco son buenas alternativas?
Cuando todo se viene abajo, el consumo baja. Pero la gente no puede dejar de comer, así que se pasa de marcas premium a otras más económicas. A Walmart le fue bien en las recesiones de 2008 y 2020. A Costco también podría irle bien. Es hora de comprar? Qué …
What book to give to a 20-whatever person needing an introduction to investing and managing their financial life?
I read "A Random Walk Down Wall Street" about 30 years ago, and it was the most influential thing in shaping my ideas. Is it still worthwhile, or what other book would you recommend today to someone who just got out of college? I guess I really want a single …
How do you think about liquidity as a risk rather than just a feature?
Most portfolio discussions focus on default risk or market risk, but liquidity seems underrated, especially for anything outside mainstream equities. How much weight do you put on being able to exit quickly, and has that thinking changed after any specific experience?
Wait, I thought it was the "SaaSpocalypse" because AI was stealing all the jobs. So why are chip makers falling on great earnings?
[Micron falls more than 5% despite blockbuster earnings. Here’s what market watchers are saying](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/19/micron-falls-blockbuster-earnings-chips-ai.html) This is not a good sign for the tech sector and is far from the only example. Falling high performing stocks despite meeting or even beating estimates has started to become a pattern in the industry. …
Toward an economic apocalypse
We are heading toward an economic apocalypse. I see it in data. It can also be explained fundamentally. Those of you who watched the WEF meeting in Davos might understand. There is an AI race going on between China and the US. They said they are aware that AI will …
Something weird is happening at IBKR. My commodities rights are being revoked.
An account review dialog popped up on my IBKR acc, asking me to my trading data. My income, wealth etc. hasn't really changed appreciably during the previous year. But IBKR detected an 'inconsistency' and confirm popped up the following dialog: *By submitting these changes, you will no longer qualify to …