Posts
The AI trade may be a land power & grid bottleneck first
So heres the thing. The market keeps calling this an AI trade but the better pressure point may be land-to-power-to-energized capacity. A chip order doesnt matter much if the site isnt built, the electrical work isnt staffed, the turbine slot isnt there, the grid gear isnt available, or the interconnection …
The first 100 trillion dollar company should emerge before year 2058
I was thinking about market cap growth of the large company seems to be singificantly higher than average inflation over the last two decades |Year|Leader|Market cap| |:-|:-|:-| |2006|Exxon Mobil|$0.447T| |2011|Exxon Mobil|$0.406T| |2016|Apple|$0.609T| |2021|Apple|$2.902T| |2024|Apple|$3.766T| |2025|NVIDIA|$4.533T| |2026|NVIDIA|$5.146T| U.S. CPI inflation of about 2.5% CAGR. In real inflation-adjusted terms, the “largest company” …
Selling stocks for the first time
I use Schwab and several years ago I bought in on the Nokia hype train. It's done pretty well and I'm ready to sell it to spoil myself. My question is about logistics, not financial advice. Like should I straight sell them or should I be using something else like …
$JHG: Looked appealing but quickly became very uninteresting due to non-recurring earnings and a pending merger
Janus Henderson Group (JHG) screens cheaply on the surface with a quote around $47 a share, a Price to Earning (P/E) of 9.9 and Price to Book value (P/B) of 1.56 but there is more to the story. There looms a pending acquisition by Trian and General Catalyst that was …
The genius of Costco is that it barely makes money selling you anything.
Most of Costco's actual operating profit doesn't come from the products on the shelves. It comes from membership fees. The retail operation runs at razor thin margins on purpose. They mark items up only enough to cover the cost of running the stores and move the inventory. The membership fee …
Need Help Finding Deceased Grandfather’s Shareholder Information? Northrop Grumman
Shot in the dark here.. My grandfather worked for and retired from Grumman, now Northrop Grumman. He passed away back in 1998. My family and I know that he had shares in the company from his time there. Shortly after he passed I even saw the documents supporting this. Unfortunately …
Simple way to beat the market by 2X (18.53% Annualy)
I backtested a strategy where I just buy the #1 largest company by market cap and rotate everything into the new #1 the second it gets dethroned. from Jan 1980 to June 2026. The results are actually insane. $10k Investment since 1980: |**Strategy**|**Final Value**|**Avg Annual Return**|**Total Multiple**| |:-|:-|:-|:-| |**S&P 500**|**$694,900**|\~9.3%|69.49x| …
Why does not paying off a mortgage and investing instead makes sense when the quantity is vastly different?
What don't understand is, let's say have a 500k mortgage at 3%. That's a low enough rate that everybody says invest your extra money into the market to make 10%, instead of your mortgage. I understand how, if you had 500k lump sum to put into the market then it …
Why RADR Could Be Lantern Pharma's Most Undervalued Asset
Most people look at Lantern Pharma ($LTRN) and see a small biotech with a few oncology programs. What they often miss is RADR. RADR isn't a chatbot. It's an AI-driven oncology platform designed to identify which patients are most likely to respond to specific therapies by analyzing billions of data …
Need feedback/thoughts by industry veterans - who've been in market long
The AI Capex Cycle and the Discipline of Uncertainty - linked in comments I originally wrote this piece as a way to collect and piece together arguments on both sides of the AI capex debate - many of which I’ve been reading and thinking about over the past few months. …