Substack
Subsites
Posts
A Scary Bond Market
<p>Good morning and welcome back to The Macro Compass. This is Alf writing.</p><p><strong>It’s almost been 3 years together now - and I loved every little bit of it.</strong><br />I treasure each and every supportive comment you threw at me, and vividly remember hitting 100,000 subscribers and jumping out of joy. …
The White House Is Ready For Bitcoin & Crypto
<h3><strong>Today’s letter is brought to you by Bitcoin Investor Week!</strong></h3><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0cdf790a-de8a-4f32-bd5b-c358eaec9b35_800x418.png" target="_blank"><div class="image2-inset"><source type="image/webp" /><img alt="" class="sizing-normal" height="418" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0cdf790a-de8a-4f32-bd5b-c358eaec9b35_800x418.png" width="800" /><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><div class="pencraft pc-reset icon-container restack-image"><svg class="lucide lucide-refresh-cw" fill="none" height="20" stroke="currentColor" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" viewBox="0 0 24 24" width="20" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><path d="M3 12a9 …
Father Time's Chronicles: Wednesday 11/20
<p>Happy Wednesday traders. It’s a fun start to the week, with the most important earnings report of our lives now behind us after this afternoon. In short, a complete blowout in earnings from NVDA, crushing expectations. The stock was down about -$4 AH at the time of this writing, and …
Europe's Stress Is Back
<h3><strong><a href="https://themarketear.com/posts/chie-VvTVs">BE IN THE KNOW, BEFORE EVERYONE ELSE</a></strong></h3><p>A PREMIUM MEMBERSHIP GIVES YOU THE CRITICAL ADVANTAGE.</p><p>SIGN UP <a href="https://www.zerohedge.com/signup">HERE</a>.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F34d76378-97ae-405c-9695-a498f0786d37_1456x832.png" target="_blank"><div class="image2-inset"><source type="image/webp" /><img alt="<a href="https://themarketear.com/posts/chie-VvTVs" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">BE IN THE KNOW, BEFORE EVERYONE ELSE</a>" class="sizing-normal" height="832" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F34d76378-97ae-405c-9695-a498f0786d37_1456x832.png" title="<a href="https://themarketear.com/posts/chie-VvTVs" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">BE IN THE KNOW, BEFORE EVERYONE …
Trump Trades – More Room To Run?
<p>Hey, this is Alf speaking - welcome back to The Macro Compass!</p><p>Given the large influx of paid subscribers at the previous round, <strong>we are extending our big discount also to our cheapest tier - The Long Term Investor.</strong></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading The Macro Compass! Subscribe for …
Hedge funds' best ideas #28
<div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Stock Analysis Compilation! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input class="email-input" name="email" tabindex="-1" type="email" /><input class="button primary" type="submit" value="Subscribe" /><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p><em>Don't hesitate to send me any interesting research you come across.</em></p><p><em>You can also follow me …
Why Most People Are Wrong About Deepseek AI and The Impact on Financial Markets
<h3><strong>Today’s letter is brought to you by Bitcoin Investor Week!</strong></h3><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0cdf790a-de8a-4f32-bd5b-c358eaec9b35_800x418.png" target="_blank"><div class="image2-inset"><source type="image/webp" /><img alt="" class="sizing-normal" height="418" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0cdf790a-de8a-4f32-bd5b-c358eaec9b35_800x418.png" title="" width="800" /><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><div class="pencraft pc-reset icon-container restack-image"><svg class="lucide lucide-refresh-cw" fill="none" height="20" stroke="currentColor" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" viewBox="0 0 24 24" width="20" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><path d="M3 …
Father Time's Chronicles: 11/25-11/29 Weekly Outlook
<p>The day is November 24th, 2021. NDX saw a daily bullish engulfing candle into close, the day before Thanksgiving when markets were closed in observance of the holiday. Bulls were at their most confident, high off the hopium and certainty of a Santa Rally. Two days later the Dow Jones …
A Fresh Look At Bond Markets
<p>Looking back at the 2015-2021 period when I traded bond markets at a large bank, it was quite boring.</p><p>Rates were mostly stuck around 0% at the front-end, and to make money you had to find small dislocations and monetize them with leverage hoping volatility would remain low forever.</p><p><strong>Today, the story …
The "Just Fine" Bull Market
<h3><strong><a href="https://themarketear.com/posts/ccWsVe10Ar">Just fine and normal</a></strong></h3><p>This is the "just fine and normal" stage of the bull market. Very little volatility, not that much exciting news flow and not stretched positioning. Very somber and grown-up. Let's look at some examples. Here first we can see that RSI is back in normal territory …