The bull narrative for Nvidia is simple: demand massively outpaces supply, and will for years to come. But that's hard to square with the flood of circular-financing deals. In just the past few days: * [Nvidia is in talks to …
It's up 20% in a month. It's at a P/E of 40. It's not growing revenue much, and not developing much in the way of new lines. Phones improve, but not so much that you are rushing out for a …
PayPal (PYPL) stock rose more than 4% on Tuesday after the payments giant defended its multiyear turnaround plan without completely closing the door to a potential merger. "While there is still significant work ahead, I have strong conviction in our …
Ive been going through Schwab’s list of A picks this week and $\`DECK stood out to me. Honestly, when I first saw the ticker I thought "is this black and decker?" It turns out they are the shoemaker behind Uggs …
At CBRL's nadir, the equity value (mkt cap) was worth <$700MM with debt+leases at 5x depressed EBITDA. Revenue growth is still negative, yet the mkt cap has surged to $1.2B. This was before the incompetent CEO was fired. What happened? …
I worry a lot. Too much probably. Whenever I think of Buffett saying an investor needs a world-class temperament over a world-class intellect, I even worry about that. For years I didn't worry much because I was in index funds. …
Alphabet's trailing P/E just fell from **21.7** to **17.8**. In the same quarter, net income more than doubled to **$112.193B** and diluted EPS came in at **$9.11**. If your first reaction is that the stock got cheap, hold that thought. …
I built a small valuation tool that breaks down what a stock multiple actually assumes. Enter a P/FCF multiple, required return, and growth rate, and it shows things like implied growth, payback time, sensitivity, and how much of the valuation …
# Investment Thesis * NVIDIA is the **fastest-growing mega cap** in the market at its **lowest relative valuation** in five years: \~21x forward earnings against a 37.7x five-year average - below even the -1 standard deviation band. * Consensus expects …
Quick context for this sub: every few weeks someone here asks whether Seeking Alpha's picks are worth following. I can't answer that in general, but I can share four and a half years of data on one specific corner of …