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REDDIT

What do you think of the “Trump’s going to crash the economy” narrative?

W
Feb 23, 2025 · 13:33

Not sure I'm buying it.

While moving towards tariffs and chaotic international relations may increase inflation and make things harder for wage earners, I see an economy where severe deregulation has massively boosted corporate profits. So if we're talking about valuation based on discounted cashflows, I don't see it working out like so many are claiming.

This is not to say there won't be numerous narrative-driven flash crashes providing opportunities to buy assets cheap.

But gold and the bond market are flashing some pretty damn big warning signs; like big dogs quietly shuffling capital off of the main stage.

So where is this big crash supposed to come from?