Posts  / #POST-091875
REDDIT

Atlanta GDP Model Was Broken

W
Mar 8, 2025 · 20:35

For GDP Forecasters, Some Gold Doesn't Glitter
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/gdp-forecasters-some-gold-doesnt-glitter-atlantafed-fxb2e?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_android&utm_campaign=share_via

Gold transfers to the US confused the trade deficit data (which should not have been included in the model).

Per the creator of GDPNow - this mistake cost the model 2% GDP growth.

Latest forecast for today would put GDP estimate at +0.4%.

It was hilarious to see previous posts wildly incorrect about this.

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