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REDDIT

Will we see a downtrend similar to the 2018 and 2022 rate increase cycle?

N
Sep 18, 2026 · 13:24

Back in 2018 and 2022 when the feds started to increase rates, the sp500 fell. In 2022, the fed increased the rates 525 bps in 15 months and the market had dropped 25%

In 2015-2018 the rates rose 225 bps but the market only fell in 2018 also compounded by the trade war.

Given both decreases, is it safe to assume the same for now?