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REDDIT

69% of big US companies now earn less than a 10-year Treasury pays

T
Sep 18, 2026 · 13:55

I took every profitable US company over $10B, 486 of them, and compared earnings yield (earnings divided by price) with the 10-year at 5%.

335 of them, 69%, earn less per dollar of price than the Treasury pays. Among the 50 largest it's 44. The median P/E is 26.7, which works out to an earnings yield of 3.75%.

The obvious answer is that earnings grow and a coupon doesn't. Fair enough, that's the whole equity bet. But it does mean you're paying a real premium today for growth you still have to get.

Does the gap change anything for you, or has stocks-vs-bonds stopped being a comparison people actually make?