Oil is up ~4% right after dropping nearly 20%… and people are already calling this a “reversal”

Honestly, this looks more like panic pricing than anything structural.

Nothing materially changed. We had ceasefire optimism → price drops. Then headlines get messy again → price spikes. Same asset, same situation, completely different pricing.

Yes, the Strait of Hormuz is constrained and traffic is low, but that didn’t suddenly happen overnight. The only thing that changed is sentiment.

To me, this feels like a market reacting to headlines faster than actual supply/demand.

If anything, this kind of volatility usually traps both sides.

Curious if people actually see a real trend forming here, or if this is just another geopolitical fake move.