Markets will eventually find a floor, because they always have across every correction and bear market in modern history. But the floor isn''t determined by analyst opinions or media headlines, it''s determined by the point where selling pressure exhausts itself, where valuations reflect realistic forward earnings, and where institutional money starts flowing back into risk assets rather than out of them.
Right now, we''re not there yet, and the evidence is consistent across multiple data points: the insider data, the fund flow data, and the VIX itself all suggest the market hasn''t reached the level of exhaustion that typically marks a sustainable bottom.
That doesn''t mean you should sell everything and hide in cash. But it does mean you should think carefully about whether your next buy is driven by your own analysis or by someone else''s narrative. Because in every market downturn, someone ends up holding shares at prices that the sellers never intended to see again.