I built a prop firm for prediction markets. Sharing what I learned and looking for feedback!
After spending a lot of time on Polymarket and seeing so many success stories on social media, I dove into prediction market trading myself, and quickly found that in order to genuinely capitalise on an edge, you need to allocate substantial capital to trading, and you need to have a very similar risk strategy to what is common among successful day traders. Most people either don't have enough to trade at meaningful size, or they trade emotionally without any structure.
So almost straight away I thought about day trading prop firms (FTMO, The Funded Traded, etc). The model works in day trading because it solves that problem. You prove your edge in a structured environment, and someone else backs you. Why is that not a thing in prediction markets?
So I built it. Resolve Markets is a prop trading challenge platform for Polymarket and Kalshi markets. You pay a one-time fee to enter a challenge, trade on real Polymarket/Kalshi markets, hit your profit target without breaching the drawdown rules, and pass. I'm launching with challenge tiers from $30 upwards.
A few things I found genuinely interesting while building this:
* Payout rates for traditional prop firms hover around 1-3% of accounts. When I modelled the math for prediction markets with realistic parameters, I found that the number is quite a lot higher (around 5-10%). I'm pretty sure this is because of the lack of a "house edge" or commission in trading.
* A constant fear of mine that keeps me up at night is the thought of insider traders using a platform like Resolve Markets in order to commit their crimes in an *even more* anonymous environment, where not even a crypto address is tied to their trades. I think the best way to counteract this is to require a minimum amount of round trip trades, meaning insiders with information on only a few markets (90% of cases) would not be able to leverage their inside information to receive a payout.
* The discipline element matters more than people think. A lot of Polymarket traders I spoke to said their biggest issue isn't finding good markets, it's position sizing and not overtrading
I'm a student who built this solo, so it's bootstrapped and pre-launch. The platform is live and challenges are open. I'd genuinely love feedback from this community. I'm curious to hear what you guys think about the challenge structure, what profit targets feel fair, and whether this is something you'd actually use. The site is [resolvemarkets.io](http://resolvemarkets.io/), feel free to check it out.
Happy to answer any questions in the comments.
