Seeing oil go crazy right now has made me wonder: does tension in Iran / Middle East nearly guarantee that oil does well?
How accurate are macro signals when it comes to the stock market? For example: natural gas. Natural gas usage rises during the winter, so does that get priced in during the fall? Does it happen like clockwork every year? Does money printing and liquidity mean that crypto pumps?
I’ve mostly invested based off of patterns previously, but I am starting to wonder if there is a strong enough connection between real world signals to invest based off of what is happening in the real world instead of previous patterns or charts