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Gold spot 2σ , Silver 4.5σ from 200SMA. Stretched or structural change?

T
Dec 29, 2025 · 08:43

Current gold spot price $4530. Silver spot $78.

200SMA for gold $3666.
200SMA for silver $42.73.

This represents a 2σ and 4.5σ event for these two metals.

2σ events happens only 5% of the time. 4.5, that's 0.00034%.

So this give two possibilities. Either we are in a price dislocation where price will return to the SMA or the SMA will catch up to the price.

Bets?